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Pro League

Referee: S Bourdeaud'hui

St Truiden

S U U T T

1–0

Full-time

Charleroi

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,5

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 11/14 matches

Win Ø 16%

18%

14%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 43%

36%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

55%

71%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,1

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,06 xG 0,23

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 4

7 Shots on target 0

6 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 3

0 Offside 3

4 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 12. · Charleroi 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	13	11	1	1	+20	+14.2	34
2	Cercle Brugge	12	10	0	2	+15	+14.5	30
3	Club Brugge	14	8	3	3	+21	+22.6	27
4	Anderlecht	12	8	3	1	+13	+9.6	27
5	Genk	12	6	4	2	+17	+18.7	22
6	Antwerp	11	5	5	1	+18	+12.5	20
7	Gent	12	5	5	2	+5	+5.5	20
8	Standard	13	4	5	4	-5	-12.4	17
9	RWD Molenbeek	15	4	4	7	-16	-17.8	16
10	Mechelen	12	4	3	5	-1	-3.1	15
11	Westerlo	13	3	3	7	-7	-5.8	12
12	St Truiden	11	2	5	4	-8	-6.1	11
13	Charleroi	14	2	5	7	-10	-8.3	11
14	Eupen	15	2	2	11	-21	-23.8	8
15	Kortrijk	15	2	2	11	-27	-14.3	8
16	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	12	1	2	9	-14	-6.0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cercle Brugge	6	6	0	0	+11	+9.5	18
2	Anderlecht	6	5	1	0	+9	+6.8	16
3	St. Gilloise	5	5	0	0	+13	+7.2	15
4	Gent	7	4	3	0	+7	+4.9	15
5	Antwerp	6	4	2	0	+16	+11.8	14
6	Club Brugge	6	4	2	0	+12	+9.1	14
7	Genk	7	3	3	1	+9	+11.8	12
8	Mechelen	6	3	2	1	+4	-0.1	11
9	Standard	7	3	2	2	+1	-4.9	11
10	RWD Molenbeek	8	3	2	3	-5	-7.0	11
11	Charleroi	7	2	3	2	-2	+0.3	9
12	Kortrijk	8	2	2	4	-6	-3.4	8
13	Westerlo	6	2	0	4	-5	-4.7	6
14	St Truiden	6	1	2	3	-6	-3.5	5
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5	1	1	3	+0	-3.0	4
16	Eupen	7	1	1	5	-10	-9.9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	6	1	1	+7	+7.0	19
2	Club Brugge	8	4	1	3	+9	+13.4	13
3	Cercle Brugge	6	4	0	2	+4	+5.0	12
4	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+4	+2.7	11
5	Genk	5	3	1	1	+8	+6.9	10
6	Antwerp	5	1	3	1	+2	+0.7	6
7	Westerlo	7	1	3	3	-2	-1.1	6
8	St Truiden	5	1	3	1	-2	-2.6	6
9	Standard	6	1	3	2	-6	-7.6	6
10	Gent	5	1	2	2	-2	+0.7	5
11	RWD Molenbeek	7	1	2	4	-11	-10.8	5
12	Mechelen	6	1	1	4	-5	-3.0	4
13	Eupen	8	1	1	6	-11	-13.9	4
14	Charleroi	7	0	2	5	-8	-8.6	2
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	0	1	6	-14	-3.0	1
16	Kortrijk	7	0	0	7	-21	-11.0	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.