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Pro League
Referee: W Smet
Cercle Brugge
S S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Kortrijk
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
2,2
0,3
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 11/14 matches
Win Ø 48%
82%
14%
Points per game
2,5
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
45%
71%
Both score Ø 41%
45%
36%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,8
0,6
Conceded
0,7
2,4
Goal diff per game
+1,1
-1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,45 xG 0,22
61% Possession 39%
24 Shots 6
13 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 10
7 Corners 5
6 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 3. · Kortrijk 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 12 10 1 1 +19 +12.3 31
2 Anderlecht 12 8 3 1 +13 +9.6 27
3 Cercle Brugge 11 9 0 2 +12 +11.2 27
4 Club Brugge 13 7 3 3 +16 +19.2 24
5 Genk 12 6 4 2 +17 +18.7 22
6 Antwerp 11 5 5 1 +18 +12.5 20
7 Gent 12 5 5 2 +5 +5.5 20
8 Standard 13 4 5 4 -5 -12.4 17
9 RWD Molenbeek 14 4 4 6 -11 -14.4 16
10 Mechelen 12 4 3 5 -1 -3.1 15
11 Westerlo 13 3 3 7 -7 -5.8 12
12 St Truiden 11 2 5 4 -8 -6.1 11
13 Charleroi 14 2 5 7 -10 -8.3 11
14 Eupen 14 2 2 10 -20 -21.9 8
15 Kortrijk 14 2 2 10 -24 -11.1 8
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 12 1 2 9 -14 -6.0 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Kortrijk
Alan Minda ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
11′
Jordan Varela 🟨
21′
30′
🟨 Mounaim El Idrissy
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Somers
46′
2–0 K. Denkey
Y. Gboho
47′
3–0 A. Minda
Y. Gboho
55′
Flávio Nazinho 🔁
↦ J. Semedo Varela
56′
57′
🟨 Abdoulaye Sissako
62′
🔁 A. Mighten
↦ M. Bruno
K. Olaigbe 🔁
↦ Y. Gboho
65′
J. Lietaert 🔁
↦ H. Siquet
65′
Hannes Van Der Bruggen 🟨
76′
77′
🔁 L. Audoor
↦ A. Sissako
N. De Wilde 🔁
↦ A. Minda
81′
S. Miangué 🔁
↦ B. Popović
82′
84′
🔁 D. Seck
↦ M. El Idrissy
84′
🔁 F. Avenatti
↦ I. Davies
91′
🟨 Mark Mampasi
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

4-2-3-1
1 Warleson G
41 H. Siquet D
4 J. Daland D
5 B. Popović D
77 J. Semedo Varela D
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
6 F. Lemaréchal M
11 A. Minda M
10 Y. Gboho M
34 T. Somers M
9 K. Denkey F
Bench (7)
20 Flávio Nazinho
19 K. Olaigbe
76 J. Lietaert
27 N. De Wilde
18 S. Miangué
21 M. Delanghe
68 R. El Bahri

Coach: M. Muslić

Kortrijk

3-4-2-1
1 T. Vandenberghe G
4 M. Mampassi D
66 A. Radovanović D
44 João Silva D
54 S. Ojo M
27 A. Sissako M
16 M. Kana M
11 D. De Neve M
70 M. Bruno F
99 M. El Idrissy F
39 I. Davies F
Bench (7)
23 A. Mighten
89 L. Audoor
76 D. Seck
20 F. Avenatti
21 M. Wasinski
15 K. Malinov
95 L. Pirard

Coach: J. Akpala

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,34
U
5,16
B
8,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,58
U2,5
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W Smet · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.