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Pro League
Referee: M Allaerts
Cercle Brugge
T S S S U
2–0
Full-time
Eupen
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cercle Brugge Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 9/11 matches
Win Ø 48%
78%
18%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
44%
73%
Both score Ø 59%
44%
73%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
0,8
2,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3,05 xG 0,69
44% Possession 56%
30 Shots 6
10 Shots on target 4
10 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 3
2 Offside 8
12 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cercle Brugge 2. · Eupen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 St. Gilloise 9 8 0 1 +16 +12.1 24
2 Cercle Brugge 9 7 0 2 +9 +8.0 21
3 Anderlecht 9 6 2 1 +10 +4.1 20
4 Antwerp 10 4 5 1 +17 +11.7 17
5 Genk 9 4 4 1 +12 +12.5 16
6 Gent 9 4 4 1 +3 +2.3 16
7 Club Brugge 9 4 2 3 +11 +13.3 14
8 RWD Molenbeek 11 3 4 4 -9 -7.7 13
9 Standard 9 3 3 3 -4 -10.1 12
10 Mechelen 9 3 2 4 -3 -2.0 11
11 St Truiden 10 2 5 3 -5 -5.2 11
12 Eupen 11 2 2 7 -14 -16.2 8
13 Kortrijk 11 2 2 7 -16 -6.0 8
14 Charleroi 11 1 4 6 -9 -8.6 7
15 Westerlo 9 1 3 5 -7 -5.9 6
16 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 9 1 2 6 -11 -2.2 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cercle Brugge Eupen
Edgaras Utkus 🟨
15′
Félix Lemaréchal 🟨
30′
Flávio Nazinho 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 A. Minda
46′
Nils De Wilde 🟨
49′
57′
🟨 Jason Davidson
60′
🟨 Jan Král
69′
🔁 A. Finnbogason
↦ Regan Charles-Cook
69′
🔁 B. Baiye
↦ A. Keita
K. Olaigbe 🔁
↦ A. Minda
72′
J. Semedo Varela 🔁
↦ Flávio Nazinho
81′
B. Popović 🔁
↦ Y. Gboho
81′
82′
🔁 L. Youndje
↦ J. Davidson
82′
🔁 J. Déom
↦ M. Pantović
92′
🟨 Kevin Möhwald
92′
🔁 I. Christie-Davies
↦ K. Möhwald
S. Miangué 🔁
↦ N. De Wilde
95′
2–0 K. Olaigbe
B. Popović
96′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Cercle Brugge

4-2-3-1
1 Warleson G
41 H. Siquet D
3 E. Utkus D
4 J. Daland D
20 Flávio Nazinho D
27 N. De Wilde M
6 F. Lemaréchal M
11 A. Minda M
34 T. Somers M
10 Y. Gboho M
9 K. Denkey F
Bench (7)
19 K. Olaigbe
77 J. Semedo Varela
5 B. Popović
18 S. Miangué
21 M. Delanghe
76 J. Lietaert
32 R. Etonde

Coach: M. Muslić

Eupen

3-4-1-2
24 G. Słonina G
28 R. Paeshuyse D
4 V. Pálsson D
21 J. Král D
15 G. Magnée M
18 A. Keita M
8 K. Möhwald M
3 J. Davidson M
19 M. Pantović F
10 Regan Charles-Cook F
7 I. Nuhu F
Bench (7)
27 A. Finnbogason
6 B. Baiye
34 L. Youndje
14 J. Déom
23 I. Christie-Davies
25 A. Filin
99 T. Roufosse

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,38
U
5,02
B
7,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,54
U2,5 ✓
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Allaerts · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.