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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
Beerschot VA
T U T T T
1–2
Full-time
Dender
U S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beerschot VA Dender
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
4,0
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 4/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
0%
40%
Points per game
0,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
50%
80%
Both score Ø 65%
50%
80%
Average goals
3,0
3,4
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,44 xG 2,71
66% Possession 34%
15 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 22
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Beerschot VA 16. · Dender 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Charleroi 5 3 0 2 +3 +2.0 9
2 Dender 5 2 2 1 +3 -0.4 8
3 St. Gilloise 5 2 2 1 +2 +2.8 8
4 Anderlecht 3 2 1 0 +3 +2.4 7
5 Standard 4 2 1 1 +1 -2.4 7
6 Genk 4 2 1 1 +0 +4.6 7
7 Antwerp 3 2 0 1 +5 +2.3 6
8 Gent 4 2 0 2 +2 -0.3 6
9 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4 1 3 0 +2 +0.1 6
10 Westerlo 4 2 0 2 +0 -0.1 6
11 Club Brugge 3 1 1 1 +0 +1.5 4
12 Mechelen 3 1 1 1 -1 -2.4 4
13 Kortrijk 4 1 0 3 -4 +0.3 3
14 St Truiden 5 0 2 3 -9 -4.4 2
15 Cercle Brugge 2 0 1 1 -3 -2.9 1
16 Beerschot VA 4 0 1 3 -4 -3.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Beerschot VA Dender
2′
D. Hrnčár 0–1
9′
ℹ️ Joedrick Pupe
VAR: Penalty confirmed
12′
B. Nsimba 0–2
Half-time 0–2
A. Martha 🔁
↦ M. Weymans
46′
A. Colassin 🔁
↦ S. Michez
46′
A. Kosiah 🔁
↦ W. Cagro
46′
Herve Matthys 🟨
55′
Tom Reyners 🟨
55′
58′
🔁 B. Goncalves
↦ F. Ferraro
59′
🔁 M. Berte
↦ J. Soladio
1–2 H. Matthys
71′
72′
🔁 J. Van Oudenhove
↦ M. Viltard
72′
🔁 L. Hens
↦ R. Květ
D. Wright-Phillips 🔁
↦ T. Reyners
82′
Antoine Colassin 🟨
83′
Ayouba Kosiah 🟨
85′
91′
🔁 K. Masangu
↦ B. Nsimba
94′
🟨 Kéres Masangu
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Beerschot VA

3-4-2-1
71 D. Matijaš G
66 A. Konstantopoulos D
3 H. Matthys D
26 D. Tshimanga D
75 S. Michez M
18 R. Sanusi M
47 W. Cagro M
28 M. Weymans M
7 T. Reyners F
10 T. Verlinden F
8 E. Henderson F
Bench (9)
42 A. Martha
25 A. Colassin
9 A. Kosiah
32 D. Wright-Phillips
5 L. Mbe Soh
22 O. Vargas
6 C. Thiam
30 D. Huiberts
33 N. Shinton

Coach: D. Kuijt

Dender

5-3-2
34 M. Verrips G
20 D. Hrnčár D
22 G. Ruyssen D
21 K. Cools D
3 J. Pupe D
88 F. Ferraro D
24 M. Viltard M
18 N. Rôdes M
16 R. Květ M
98 J. Soladio F
77 B. Nsimba F
Bench (9)
4 B. Goncalves
90 M. Berte
8 J. Van Oudenhove
10 L. Hens
6 K. Masangu
13 J. Devriendt
23 D. Acquah
7 R. M'Barki
19 A. Akman

Coach: V. Euvrard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,86
U
3,37
B ✓
2,41
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,82
U2,5
1,97
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.