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Referee: S Bourdeaud'hui

Beerschot VA

T U T T T

1–1

Full-time

Charleroi

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beerschot VA Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

0,5

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,7

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 19/15 matches

Win Ø 23%

40%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

63%

33%

Both score Ø 44%

47%

40%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,1

Conceded

2,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

-1,3

+0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,46 xG 2,05

46% Possession 54%

12 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 5

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Beerschot VA 16. · Charleroi 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	17	13	2	2	+16	+19.2	41
2	Club Brugge	16	11	4	1	+23	+18.2	37
3	St. Gilloise	17	9	6	2	+13	+16.2	33
4	Anderlecht	16	9	5	2	+21	+9.2	32
5	Antwerp	15	9	5	1	+20	+2.1	32
6	Gent	18	7	8	3	+14	+0.1	29
7	Dender	17	6	6	5	-1	-5.8	24
8	Cercle Brugge	20	6	6	8	-11	-5.6	24
9	Charleroi	15	6	4	5	+2	+2.3	22
10	Standard	15	6	4	5	-7	-7.0	22
11	St Truiden	21	4	5	12	-21	-9.5	17
12	Mechelen	17	4	4	9	-5	-2.5	16
13	Westerlo	17	4	3	10	-5	+0.3	15
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	17	2	8	7	-6	-2.5	14
15	Kortrijk	21	3	2	16	-29	-16.0	11
16	Beerschot VA	19	1	6	12	-24	-18.6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Genk	10	9	1	0	+15	+13.3	28
2	Club Brugge	8	6	2	0	+17	+14.4	20
3	Anderlecht	9	5	3	1	+11	+3.6	18
4	St. Gilloise	7	6	0	1	+8	+12.6	18
5	Gent	8	5	2	1	+14	+3.1	17
6	Antwerp	7	5	1	1	+15	+4.6	16
7	Standard	7	5	1	1	+4	-2.2	16
8	Cercle Brugge	9	4	3	2	-1	+0.8	15
9	Charleroi	8	4	2	2	+4	+3.6	14
10	St Truiden	11	3	5	3	-2	+0.6	14
11	Mechelen	9	3	3	3	+4	+1.4	12
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	9	2	6	1	+3	+3.1	12
13	Westerlo	9	3	2	4	+4	+9.2	11
14	Dender	8	2	3	3	+0	-1.9	9
15	Kortrijk	11	3	0	8	-9	-3.7	9
16	Beerschot VA	9	1	5	3	-5	-6.1	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	8	5	2	1	+6	+3.7	17
2	Antwerp	8	4	4	0	+5	-2.5	16
3	St. Gilloise	10	3	6	1	+5	+3.6	15
4	Dender	9	4	3	2	-1	-3.8	15
5	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+10	+5.6	14
6	Genk	7	4	1	2	+1	+5.8	13
7	Gent	10	2	6	2	+0	-3.1	12
8	Cercle Brugge	11	2	3	6	-10	-6.4	9
9	Charleroi	7	2	2	3	-2	-1.2	8
10	Standard	8	1	3	4	-11	-4.9	6
11	Westerlo	8	1	1	6	-9	-8.9	4
12	Mechelen	8	1	1	6	-9	-3.9	4
13	St Truiden	10	1	0	9	-19	-10.1	3
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	0	2	6	-9	-5.6	2
15	Kortrijk	10	0	2	8	-20	-12.3	2
16	Beerschot VA	10	0	1	9	-19	-12.5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.