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Pro League

Referee: A Boucaut

Genk

S S S S S

4–1

Full-time

Charleroi

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

100%

33%

Points per game

3,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

2,5

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,8

-0,5

This season — Pro League · 13/16 matches

Win Ø 68%

92%

44%

Points per game

2,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

77%

63%

Both score Ø 63%

62%

63%

Average goals

3,5

2,9

Scored

2,8

1,4

Conceded

0,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

+2,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

52% Possession 48%

13 Shots 6

8 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 0

3 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 1. · Charleroi 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	13	12	1	0	+27	37
2	St. Gilloise	13	11	1	1	+16	34
3	Antwerp	14	11	0	3	+14	33
4	Club Brugge	14	10	1	3	+17	31
5	Gent	13	7	2	4	+9	23
6	Anderlecht	15	7	1	7	+9	22
7	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	6	4	5	+0	22
8	Charleroi	16	7	1	8	-3	22
9	Standard	12	7	0	5	+3	21
10	St Truiden	15	5	5	5	-2	20
11	Cercle Brugge	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Westerlo	13	5	2	6	-5	17
13	Mechelen	16	5	2	9	-7	17
14	Kortrijk	16	4	3	9	-12	15
15	Oostende	16	4	3	9	-13	15
16	Waregem	16	4	2	10	-15	14
17	Eupen	16	4	0	12	-18	12
18	Seraing	15	3	2	10	-11	11
19	Seraing United	15	3	2	10	-11	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	Antwerp	7	7	0	0	+13	21
3	Club Brugge	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Anderlecht	9	5	1	3	+8	16
5	St. Gilloise	5	5	0	0	+6	15
6	Gent	6	4	1	1	+6	13
7	Mechelen	9	4	1	4	+1	13
8	Cercle Brugge	7	3	3	1	+6	12
9	Charleroi	8	3	1	4	-2	10
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	3	1	3	-3	10
11	Standard	6	3	0	3	+1	9
12	Oostende	7	3	0	4	-6	9
13	Waregem	9	3	0	6	-11	9
14	Westerlo	6	2	2	2	+1	8
15	St Truiden	7	2	2	3	-2	8
16	Eupen	8	2	0	6	-8	6
17	Kortrijk	8	1	2	5	-9	5
18	Seraing	7	0	1	6	-10	1
19	Seraing United	7	0	1	6	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Genk	5	5	0	0	+13	15
3	Club Brugge	7	5	0	2	+6	15
4	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	3	3	2	+3	12
5	Standard	6	4	0	2	+2	12
6	Antwerp	7	4	0	3	+1	12
7	St Truiden	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Charleroi	8	4	0	4	-1	12
9	Gent	7	3	1	3	+3	10
10	Seraing	8	3	1	4	-1	10
11	Seraing United	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Kortrijk	8	3	1	4	-3	10
13	Westerlo	7	3	0	4	-6	9
14	Cercle Brugge	6	2	1	3	-4	7
15	Anderlecht	6	2	0	4	+1	6
16	Oostende	9	1	3	5	-7	6
17	Eupen	8	2	0	6	-10	6
18	Waregem	7	1	2	4	-4	5
19	Mechelen	7	1	1	5	-8	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.