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Pro League
Referee: K Van Damme
Genk
T S S S U
2–1
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
50%
0%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 16/19 matches
Win Ø 54%
75%
32%
Points per game
2,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
75%
37%
Both score Ø 50%
63%
37%
Average goals
3,3
2,2
Scored
2,1
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,71 xG 0,56
62% Possession 38%
16 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
2 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Genk 1. · Cercle Brugge 8.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Genk 16 12 2 2 +15 +17.0 38
2 Club Brugge 16 11 4 1 +23 +18.2 37
3 Anderlecht 16 9 5 2 +21 +9.2 32
4 Antwerp 15 9 5 1 +20 +2.1 32
5 St. Gilloise 16 8 6 2 +12 +14.8 30
6 Gent 18 7 8 3 +14 +0.1 29
7 Dender 17 6 6 5 -1 -5.8 24
8 Cercle Brugge 19 6 6 7 -10 -3.5 24
9 Charleroi 15 6 4 5 +2 +2.3 22
10 Standard 15 6 4 5 -7 -7.0 22
11 St Truiden 21 4 5 12 -21 -9.5 17
12 Mechelen 17 4 4 9 -5 -2.5 16
13 Westerlo 17 4 3 10 -5 +0.3 15
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 17 2 8 7 -6 -2.5 14
15 Kortrijk 20 3 2 15 -28 -14.6 11
16 Beerschot VA 19 1 6 12 -24 -18.6 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Cercle Brugge
10′
T. Somers 0–1
Hyun-gyu Oh ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
16′
1–1 J. Steuckers
18′
2–1 Oh Hyeon-Gyu
K. Nkuba
40′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 A. Minda
↦ Felipe Augusto
46′
🔁 L. Perrin
↦ E. Utkus
58′
🟨 Lucas Perrin
C. Bonsu Baah 🔁
↦ N. Adedeji-Sternberg
68′
T. Arokodare 🔁
↦ Oh Hyeon-Gyu
68′
I. Bangoura 🔁
↦ P. Hrošovský
69′
76′
🔁 Flávio Nazinho
↦ Erick Nunes
76′
🔁 N. De Wilde
↦ A. Francis
82′
🟥 Maxime Delanghe
82′
ℹ️ Maxime Delanghe
VAR: Card upgrade
J. Kayembe 🔁
↦ Z. El Ouahdi
84′
84′
🔁 Warleson
↦ H. Van der Bruggen
89′
🟨 Ibrahim Diakité
K. Karetsas 🔁
↦ J. Steuckers
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
39 M. Penders G
27 K. Nkuba D
3 Mujaid Sadick D
6 M. Smets D
77 Z. El Ouahdi D
24 N. Sattlberger M
8 B. Heynen M
23 J. Steuckers M
17 P. Hrošovský M
32 N. Adedeji-Sternberg M
9 Oh Hyeon-Gyu F
Bench (9)
7 C. Bonsu Baah
99 T. Arokodare
21 I. Bangoura
18 J. Kayembe
20 K. Karetsas
82 O. Vliegen
11 L. Oyen
1 H. Van Crombrugge
34 A. Palacios

Coach: T. Fink

Cercle Brugge

3-4-1-2
21 M. Delanghe G
2 I. Diakité D
66 C. Ravych D
3 E. Utkus D
8 Erick Nunes M
17 A. Francis M
28 H. Van der Bruggen M
15 G. Magnée M
6 L. Agyekum F
34 T. Somers F
10 Felipe Augusto F
Bench (9)
11 A. Minda
5 L. Perrin
20 Flávio Nazinho
27 N. De Wilde
1 Warleson
90 E. Kakou
7 M. Efekele
22 A. Bayo
76 J. Lietaert

Coach: F. Feldhofer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
4,22
B
4,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,26
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

K Van Damme · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.