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Pro League

Referee: L Visser

St Truiden

T S T S T

2–1

Full-time

Beerschot VA

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Truiden Beerschot VA

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 16%

21%

11%

Points per game

0,9

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

68%

57%

Both score Ø 61%

71%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

2,1

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,88 xG 1,00

47% Possession 53%

12 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 1

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 7

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match St Truiden 15. · Beerschot VA 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	27	18	6	3	+37	+36.3	60
2	St. Gilloise	27	17	7	3	+30	+26.0	58
3	Genk	27	17	4	6	+19	+17.4	55
4	Anderlecht	27	15	6	6	+28	+8.6	51
5	Antwerp	26	11	10	5	+14	-2.5	43
6	Charleroi	26	10	8	8	+6	+5.9	38
7	Gent	27	9	8	10	-6	-12.6	35
8	Dender	27	8	9	10	-11	-13.8	33
9	Cercle Brugge	29	8	9	12	-17	-1.8	33
10	Westerlo	27	8	8	11	+0	+1.6	32
11	Standard	27	7	9	11	-15	-11.0	30
12	Mechelen	27	7	8	12	-5	+2.6	29
13	Kortrijk	29	8	3	18	-23	-15.3	27
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	27	4	14	9	-7	-6.7	26
15	St Truiden	28	6	7	15	-24	-9.3	25
16	Beerschot VA	28	3	8	17	-26	-25.3	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	14	11	1	2	+20	+19.5	34
2	Club Brugge	14	10	2	2	+23	+22.8	32
3	Genk	13	10	1	2	+17	+15.2	31
4	Anderlecht	13	7	4	2	+18	+6.0	25
5	Charleroi	13	7	3	3	+10	+6.5	24
6	Cercle Brugge	15	6	5	4	-2	+5.2	23
7	Antwerp	13	6	3	4	+12	+4.0	21
8	Westerlo	14	5	5	4	+8	+12.0	20
9	Gent	13	6	2	5	+5	-3.1	20
10	Standard	14	5	4	5	-1	-3.4	19
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	14	3	9	2	+3	+1.2	18
12	St Truiden	14	4	6	4	-3	+0.8	18
13	Mechelen	13	4	5	4	+6	+6.1	17
14	Dender	13	4	5	4	+1	-3.6	17
15	Kortrijk	14	5	1	8	-6	-2.1	16
16	Beerschot VA	14	3	6	5	-4	-10.0	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	13	8	4	1	+14	+13.5	28
2	Anderlecht	14	8	2	4	+10	+2.6	26
3	St. Gilloise	13	6	6	1	+10	+6.5	24
4	Genk	14	7	3	4	+2	+2.2	24
5	Antwerp	13	5	7	1	+2	-6.6	22
6	Dender	14	4	4	6	-12	-10.2	16
7	Gent	14	3	6	5	-11	-9.5	15
8	Charleroi	13	3	5	5	-4	-0.6	14
9	Westerlo	13	3	3	7	-8	-10.4	12
10	Mechelen	14	3	3	8	-11	-3.4	12
11	Standard	13	2	5	6	-14	-7.6	11
12	Kortrijk	15	3	2	10	-17	-13.2	11
13	Cercle Brugge	14	2	4	8	-15	-7.0	10
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	13	1	5	7	-10	-7.9	8
15	St Truiden	14	2	1	11	-21	-10.1	7
16	Beerschot VA	14	0	2	12	-22	-15.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.