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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Tagliavento

Fiorentina

U U T S T

1–2

Full-time

Juventus

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Juventus

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

17%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,2

2,8

Scored

1,0

2,5

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,2

This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 63%

50%

76%

Points per game

1,7

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

50%

47%

Both score Ø 47%

59%

35%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,9

Conceded

1,1

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,4

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

21 Shots 6

7 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 6

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 4

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fiorentina 5. · Juventus 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	34	26	4	4	+48	82
2	Napoli	34	22	7	5	+43	73
3	Roma	34	19	11	4	+35	68
4	Inter	35	19	7	9	+15	64
5	Fiorentina	34	17	8	9	+17	59
6	Milan	34	14	11	9	+8	53
7	Sassuolo	35	13	13	9	+5	52
8	Chievo	35	13	9	13	+1	48
9	Lazio	35	13	9	13	-2	48
10	Genoa	35	12	7	16	-4	43
11	Torino	35	11	9	15	-5	42
12	Empoli	34	11	9	14	-8	42
13	Atalanta	35	10	11	14	-6	41
14	Sampdoria	35	10	10	15	-3	40
15	Bologna	35	11	7	17	-11	40
16	Udinese	35	10	8	17	-20	38
17	Carpi	34	7	11	16	-18	32
18	Palermo	35	8	8	19	-30	32
19	Frosinone	35	8	6	21	-36	30
20	Verona	34	3	13	18	-29	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	17	14	3	0	+32	45
2	Juventus	17	14	2	1	+24	44
3	Roma	17	11	5	1	+23	38
4	Inter	18	12	2	4	+13	38
5	Fiorentina	17	11	4	2	+19	37
6	Genoa	17	10	3	4	+12	33
7	Milan	17	9	5	3	+8	32
8	Lazio	17	9	3	5	+9	30
9	Atalanta	18	8	5	5	+6	29
10	Sampdoria	18	8	4	6	+7	28
11	Chievo	17	7	6	4	+7	27
12	Sassuolo	17	6	8	3	+2	26
13	Torino	18	6	6	6	+1	24
14	Empoli	17	6	5	6	+1	23
15	Udinese	17	6	4	7	-5	22
16	Frosinone	18	6	4	8	-7	22
17	Bologna	18	5	5	8	+0	20
18	Carpi	17	5	5	7	-2	20
19	Palermo	17	4	4	9	-9	16
20	Verona	17	2	6	9	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	12	2	3	+24	38
2	Roma	17	8	6	3	+12	30
3	Napoli	17	8	4	5	+11	28
4	Sassuolo	18	7	5	6	+3	26
5	Inter	17	7	5	5	+2	26
6	Fiorentina	17	6	4	7	-2	22
7	Milan	17	5	6	6	+0	21
8	Chievo	18	6	3	9	-6	21
9	Bologna	17	6	2	9	-11	20
10	Empoli	17	5	4	8	-9	19
11	Torino	17	5	3	9	-6	18
12	Lazio	18	4	6	8	-11	18
13	Udinese	18	4	4	10	-15	16
14	Palermo	18	4	4	10	-21	16
15	Sampdoria	17	2	6	9	-10	12
16	Atalanta	17	2	6	9	-12	12
17	Carpi	17	2	6	9	-16	12
18	Genoa	18	2	4	12	-16	10
19	Verona	17	1	7	9	-18	10
20	Frosinone	17	2	2	13	-29	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.