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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
Guimaraes
T T U T T
1–1
Full-time
Estoril
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Estoril
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,8
Scored
0,5
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,5
This season — Primeira Liga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 34%
27%
40%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
40%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,9
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 6
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 7
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Guimaraes 11. · Estoril 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 31 24 5 2 +47 77
2 Benfica 30 25 1 4 +59 76
3 Porto 31 21 4 6 +33 67
4 Sp Braga 31 15 9 7 +22 54
5 Arouca 31 12 13 6 +6 49
6 Rio Ave 30 13 7 10 +2 46
7 Pacos Ferreira 31 12 9 10 +2 45
8 Estoril 30 12 6 12 -1 42
9 Nacional 31 10 7 14 -10 37
10 Belenenses 31 9 10 12 -21 37
11 Guimaraes 30 8 11 11 -10 35
12 Maritimo 31 10 5 16 -14 35
13 Moreirense 31 8 8 15 -14 32
14 Boavista 31 7 8 16 -14 29
15 Vitoria Setubal 31 6 11 14 -15 29
16 U. Madeira 31 6 8 17 -23 26
17 Academica 31 5 9 17 -24 24
18 Tondela 31 6 5 20 -25 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Dec -15 Estoril – Guimaraes 0–1

Match report

Guimaraes Estoril
20′
🟨 Gerso Fernandes
Half-time 0–0
João Vigário 🔁
↦ Luís Rocha
46′
49′
🟨 Frederic Mendy
Lica 🟨
51′
1–0 Licá
53′
55′
🔁 Marion
↦ Afonso Taira
Franci 🔁
↦ Valente
63′
66′
🟨 Yohan Tavares
68′
🔁 Felipe Augusto
↦ Yohan Tavares
69′
Felipe Augusto 1–1
74′
🔁 Dieguinho
↦ Gerso Fernandes
P. Hurtado 🔁
↦ Henrique Dourado
77′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Guimaraes

56 João Miguel G
3 Josué Sá D
2 Pedrão D
15 João Afonso D
26 Cafú M
52 Otavinho M
5 Luís Rocha D
94 T. Phete M
11 Licá F
89 Henrique Dourado F
7 Valente M
Bench (7)
33 João Vigário
88 Franci
16 P. Hurtado
1 Douglas Jesus
24 João Teixeira
29 A. Arrondel
70 Tozé

Estoril

1 P. Kieszek G
5 Anderson Luis D
26 Pedro Botelho D
2 Yohan Tavares D
15 O. Diakhite D
34 Diego Carlos D
6 Afonso Taira M
13 A. Esiti M
21 F. Mendy F
10 Gerso Fernandes F
9 Léo Bonatini F
Bench (7)
22 Marion
92 Felipe Augusto
30 Dieguinho
7 Mano
12 Georgemy
33 Dankler
91 L. Chaparro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Oliveira · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.