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Bundesliga

Referee: Robert Hartmann

M'gladbach

S T S T T

3–1

Full-time

Hoffenheim

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach Hoffenheim

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 37%

47%

27%

Points per game

1,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

77%

47%

Both score Ø 60%

57%

63%

Average goals

3,5

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,2

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

56% Possession 44%

24 Shots 14

11 Shots on target 8

7 Blocked shots 3

7 Goalkeeper saves 9

12 Corners 3

7 Offside 1

0 Free kicks against 0

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 5. · Hoffenheim 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	31	26	3	2	+60	81
2	Dortmund	31	23	5	3	+45	74
3	Leverkusen	31	16	6	9	+15	54
4	Hertha	31	14	7	10	+2	49
5	M'gladbach	30	14	3	13	+12	45
6	Mainz	30	13	6	11	+3	45
7	Schalke 04	31	13	6	12	-3	45
8	FC Koln	31	10	10	11	-4	40
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	31	10	10	11	-6	40
10	Wolfsburg	31	10	9	12	-1	39
11	Hamburg	31	10	7	14	-7	37
12	Augsburg	31	9	9	13	-8	36
13	Darmstadt	31	8	11	12	-13	35
14	Hoffenheim	30	8	10	12	-10	34
15	Stuttgart	31	9	6	16	-17	33
16	Werder Bremen	31	8	7	16	-20	31
17	Ein Frankfurt	30	6	9	15	-20	27
18	Hannover	31	6	4	21	-28	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	14	0	1	+41	42
2	Dortmund	15	13	2	0	+31	41
3	M'gladbach	15	11	1	3	+21	34
4	Hertha	16	9	5	2	+10	32
5	Wolfsburg	16	8	5	3	+13	29
6	Schalke 04	16	8	4	4	+4	28
7	Leverkusen	15	8	3	4	+12	27
8	Mainz	15	8	2	5	+5	26
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	16	7	5	4	+5	26
10	Hoffenheim	15	5	6	4	-1	21
11	Hamburg	16	5	4	7	-2	19
12	FC Koln	16	5	4	7	-2	19
13	Stuttgart	16	6	1	9	-8	19
14	Ein Frankfurt	15	4	6	5	-4	18
15	Augsburg	15	3	5	7	-7	14
16	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-8	14
17	Darmstadt	15	2	6	7	-11	12
18	Hannover	15	3	0	12	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	16	12	3	1	+19	39
2	Dortmund	16	10	3	3	+14	33
3	Leverkusen	16	8	3	5	+3	27
4	Darmstadt	16	6	5	5	-2	23
5	Augsburg	16	6	4	6	-1	22
6	FC Koln	15	5	6	4	-2	21
7	Mainz	15	5	4	6	-2	19
8	Hamburg	15	5	3	7	-5	18
9	Schalke 04	15	5	2	8	-7	17
10	Hertha	15	5	2	8	-8	17
11	Werder Bremen	16	5	2	9	-12	17
12	Stuttgart	15	3	5	7	-9	14
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	15	3	5	7	-11	14
14	Hoffenheim	15	3	4	8	-9	13
15	Hannover	16	3	4	9	-14	13
16	M'gladbach	15	3	2	10	-9	11
17	Wolfsburg	15	2	4	9	-14	10
18	Ein Frankfurt	15	2	3	10	-16	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.