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La Liga
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Barcelona
S S S U T
0–0
Full-time
Vallecano
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%
21 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 0
4 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Barcelona Vallecano
Ousmane Dembélé 🟨
14′
45′
🟨 Óscar Trejo
Half-time 0–0
50′
🟨 Alejandro Catena
54′
🟨 Florian Lejeune
Sergi Roberto 🔁
↦ A. Christensen
60′
F. de Jong 🔁
↦ Gavi
60′
Ansu Fati 🔁
↦ Raphinha
60′
62′
🔁 Óscar Valentín
↦ Unai López
62′
🔁 R. Falcao
↦ Sergio Camello
69′
🟨 Radamel Falcao
F. Kessié 🔁
↦ Pedri
73′
Sergio Busquets 🟨
74′
79′
🔁 Salvi
↦ Isi Palazón
P. Aubameyang 🔁
↦ Jordi Alba
82′
84′
🔁 José Ángel Pozo
↦ Ó. Trejo
86′
🟨 Ismaila Ciss
89′
🟨 Stole Dimitrievski
Sergio Busquets 🟨
93′
Sergio Busquets 🟥
93′
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
4 R. Araujo D
15 A. Christensen D
24 Eric García D
18 Jordi Alba D
30 Gavi M
5 Sergio Busquets M
8 Pedri M
22 Raphinha F
9 R. Lewandowski F
7 O. Dembélé F
Bench (12)
20 Sergi Roberto
21 F. de Jong
10 Ansu Fati
19 F. Kessié
17 P. Aubameyang
28 Álex Balde
14 M. Depay
36 Arnau Tenas
11 Ferran Torres
26 Iñaki Peña
16 M. Pjanić
3 Piqué

Coach: Xavi

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
1 S. Dimitrievski G
20 I. Balliu D
19 F. Lejeune D
5 Catena D
3 Fran García D
17 Unai López M
21 P. Ciss M
7 Isi Palazón M
8 Ó. Trejo M
18 Álvaro García M
34 Sergio Camello F
Bench (12)
23 Óscar Valentín
9 R. Falcao
14 Salvi
22 José Ángel Pozo
30 Miguel Morro
10 Bebé
4 Mario Suárez
2 Mario Hernández
13 Diego López
29 Diego Méndez
11 R. Nteka
28 Pablo Muñoz

Coach: Andoni Iraola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,21
U ✓
6,79
B
14,20
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,50
U2,5 ✓
2,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.