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Champions League
Referee: S Schärer
Plzen
S S U S T
0–2
Full-time
Inter
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Plzen Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,2
This season — Champions League · 7/1 matches
Win Ø 36%
71%
0%
Points per game
2,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
86%
0%
Both score Ø 36%
71%
0%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
2,0
0,0
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

28% Possession 72%
8 Shots 19
1 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 8
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Plzen Inter
Jan Sýkora 🟨
12′
Lukáš Kalvach 🟨
15′
20′
E. Džeko 0–1
J. Correa
Václav Jemelka 🟨
22′
Half-time 0–1
60′
🟨 Alessandro Bastoni
Pavel Bucha 🟥
61′
Pavel Bucha ℹ️
VAR: Card upgrade
61′
64′
🔁 D. D'Ambrosio
↦ A. Bastoni
70′
D. Dumfries 0–2
E. Džeko
E. Jirka 🔁
↦ J. Sýkora
71′
F. Bassey 🔁
↦ T. Chorý
71′
72′
🔁 Lautaro Martínez
↦ J. Correa
72′
🔁 R. Gagliardini
↦ N. Barella
72′
🔁 H. Çalhanoğlu
↦ H. Mkhitaryan
L. Holík 🔁
↦ M. Havel
76′
M. N'Diaye 🔁
↦ L. Kalvach
76′
78′
🟨 Roberto Gagliardini
A. Čermák 🔁
↦ A. Vlkanova
84′
84′
🔁 K. Asllani
↦ M. Brozović
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Plzen

3-4-1-2
36 J. Staněk G
4 L. Pernica M
2 L. Hejda M
21 V. Jemelka D
24 M. Havel D
20 P. Bucha M
23 L. Kalvach M
7 J. Sýkora D
88 A. Vlkanova F
15 T. Chorý F
18 J. Mosquera F
Bench (9)
77 E. Jirka
90 F. Bassey
44 L. Holík
99 M. N'Diaye
25 A. Čermák
6 V. Pilař
3 M. Tijani
13 M. Tvrdoň
16 M. Jedlička

Coach: M. Bílek

Inter

3-5-2
24 A. Onana G
37 M. Škriniar M
15 F. Acerbi M
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries D
23 N. Barella M
77 M. Brozović M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
8 R. Gosens D
9 E. Džeko F
11 J. Correa F
Bench (11)
33 D. D'Ambrosio
10 Lautaro Martínez
5 R. Gagliardini
20 H. Çalhanoğlu
14 K. Asllani
36 M. Darmian
12 R. Bellanova
6 S. de Vrij
32 F. Dimarco
1 S. Handanovič
21 A. Cordaz

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Schärer · 132 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,6 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.