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Serie A
Referee: G Ayroldi
Inter
S T S T T
1–0
Full-time
Torino
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,7
This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
100%
60%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,8
2,2
Scored
2,2
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
16 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 7
6 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 8. · Torino 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 6 4 2 0 +9 14
2 Atalanta 5 4 1 0 +7 13
3 Milan 5 3 2 0 +5 11
4 Udinese 5 3 1 1 +4 10
5 Roma 5 3 1 1 +1 10
6 Torino 5 3 1 1 +1 10
7 Juventus 5 2 3 0 +5 9
8 Inter 5 3 0 2 +3 9
9 Lazio 5 2 2 1 +2 8
10 Salernitana 5 1 3 1 +3 6
11 Fiorentina 5 1 3 1 +0 6
12 Sassuolo 5 1 3 1 -2 6
13 Verona 5 1 2 2 -3 5
14 Spezia 6 1 2 3 -5 5
15 Empoli 5 0 4 1 -1 4
16 Bologna 5 0 3 2 -3 3
17 Lecce 5 0 2 3 -3 2
18 Sampdoria 5 0 2 3 -7 2
19 Cremonese 5 0 1 4 -5 1
20 Monza 5 0 0 5 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Torino
Half-time 0–0
51′
🟨 Antonio Sanabria
51′
🟥 Antonio Sanabria
VAR: Red card cancelled
Marcelo Brozović 🟨
55′
68′
🟨 Saša Lukić
J. Correa 🔁
↦ E. Džeko
68′
A. Bastoni 🔁
↦ D. Dumfries
68′
68′
🔁 E. İlkhan
↦ K. Linetty
69′
🔁 N. Radonjić
↦ D. Seck
R. Bellanova 🔁
↦ F. Dimarco
76′
H. Mkhitaryan 🔁
↦ H. Çalhanoğlu
77′
77′
🔁 D. Zima
↦ R. Rodríguez
R. Gosens 🔁
↦ M. Darmian
85′
1–0 M. Brozović
N. Barella
89′
90′
🔁 P. Pellegri
↦ A. Sanabria
90′
🔁 W. Singo
↦ V. Lazaro
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 S. Handanovič G
37 M. Škriniar D
6 S. de Vrij D
32 F. Dimarco D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
77 M. Brozović M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
36 M. Darmian M
10 Lautaro Martínez F
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (12)
11 J. Correa
95 A. Bastoni
12 R. Bellanova
22 H. Mkhitaryan
8 R. Gosens
14 K. Asllani
21 A. Cordaz
24 A. Onana
15 F. Acerbi
5 R. Gagliardini
45 V. Carboni
33 D. D'Ambrosio

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Torino

3-4-2-1
32 V. Milinković-Savić G
26 K. Djidji D
4 A. Buongiorno D
13 R. Rodríguez D
19 V. Lazaro M
10 S. Lukić M
77 K. Linetty M
27 M. Vojvoda M
23 D. Seck F
16 N. Vlašić F
9 A. Sanabria F
Bench (13)
14 E. İlkhan
49 N. Radonjić
6 D. Zima
11 P. Pellegri
17 W. Singo
73 M. Fiorenza
21 M. Adopo
7 Y. Karamoh
3 P. Schuurs
2 B. Bayeye
34 O. Aina
89 L. Gemello
36 M. Garbett

Coach: I. Juric

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,45
U
4,77
B
7,01
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,67
U2,5 ✓
2,23
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.