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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Ath Madrid

S S U S S

0–2

Full-time

Villarreal

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,2

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

0,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,7

This season — La Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

3,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

13 Shots 19

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 9

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 7. · Villarreal 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Betis	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Valencia	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sevilla	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Mallorca	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Celta	2	0	1	1	-3	1
15	Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Cadiz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Osasuna	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Betis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Valencia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Barcelona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Celta	2	0	1	1	-3	1
8	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Almeria	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-3	0
13	Getafe	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Betis	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Espanol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Mallorca	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Cadiz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Elche	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.