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Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
Leverkusen
S S T T T
0–3
Full-time
Hoffenheim
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Hoffenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
5,0
Scored
2,0
2,0
Conceded
1,7
3,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,5
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,5
2,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%
14 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Leverkusen 18. · Hoffenheim 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 M'gladbach 3 2 1 0 +3 7
2 Bayern Munich 2 2 0 0 +7 6
3 Dortmund 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 FC Koln 2 1 1 0 +2 4
5 Union Berlin 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Mainz 2 1 1 0 +1 4
7 Freiburg 2 1 0 1 +2 3
8 Hoffenheim 2 1 0 1 -1 3
9 Augsburg 2 1 0 1 -3 3
10 Werder Bremen 2 0 2 0 +0 2
11 Stuttgart 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 RB Leipzig 2 0 2 0 +0 2
13 Schalke 04 2 0 1 1 -2 1
14 Wolfsburg 2 0 1 1 -2 1
15 Hertha 3 0 1 2 -3 1
16 Ein Frankfurt 2 0 1 1 -5 1
17 Bochum 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Leverkusen 2 0 0 2 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Leverkusen Hoffenheim
9′
C. Baumgartner 0–1
G. Prömel
34′
A. Kramarić 0–2
41′
ℹ️ Robert Skov
VAR: Goal cancelled
Half-time 0–2
K. Demirbay 🔁
↦ A. Hložek
46′
E. Palacios 🔁
↦ C. Aránguiz
46′
Moussa Diaby 🟨
56′
57′
🟨 Ozan Kabak
Paulinho 🔁
↦ R. Andrich
66′
69′
🔁 M. Dabbur
↦ C. Baumgartner
70′
🔁 P. Kadeřábek
↦ R. Skov
74′
🟨 Georginio Rutter
75′
🔁 S. Rudy
↦ D. Geiger
N. Amiri 🔁
↦ S. Azmoun
76′
M. Bakker 🔁
↦ E. Tapsoba
76′
78′
G. Rutter 0–3
A. Kramarić
83′
🟨 Angeliño
85′
🔁 A. Stiller
↦ G. Rutter
86′
🟨 Kevin Akpoguma
86′
🔁 J. Bruun Larsen
↦ A. Kramarić
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
1 L. Hrádecký G
30 J. Frimpong D
4 J. Tah D
12 E. Tapsoba D
3 P. Hincapié D
20 C. Aránguiz M
8 R. Andrich M
19 M. Diaby M
9 S. Azmoun M
23 A. Hložek M
14 P. Schick F
Bench (9)
10 K. Demirbay
25 E. Palacios
7 Paulinho
11 N. Amiri
5 M. Bakker
22 D. Sinkgraven
6 O. Kossounou
36 N. Lomb
24 T. Fosu-Mensah

Coach: G. Seoane

Hoffenheim

3-5-2
1 O. Baumann G
5 O. Kabak D
22 K. Vogt D
25 K. Akpoguma D
29 R. Skov M
6 G. Prömel M
8 D. Geiger M
14 C. Baumgartner M
11 Angeliño M
33 G. Rutter F
27 A. Kramarić F
Bench (9)
10 M. Dabbur
3 P. Kadeřábek
16 S. Rudy
13 A. Stiller
7 J. Bruun Larsen
18 D. Samassékou
26 Eduardo Quaresma
38 S. Posch
37 L. Philipp

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,69
U
4,34
B ✓
4,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,44
U2,5
2,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.