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Bundesliga

Referee: S Stegemann

Leverkusen

T T T T S

2–3

Full-time

Freiburg

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leverkusen Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

25%

75%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

25%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

15 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leverkusen 13. · Freiburg 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	5	4	0	1	+4	12
2	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+14	10
3	Union Berlin	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Freiburg	4	3	0	1	+4	9
5	Hoffenheim	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	M'gladbach	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Mainz	4	2	1	1	-1	7
8	FC Koln	4	1	3	0	+2	6
9	RB Leipzig	4	1	2	1	+1	5
10	Werder Bremen	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Ein Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	-4	5
12	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Leverkusen	4	1	0	3	-2	3
14	Augsburg	4	1	0	3	-5	3
15	Wolfsburg	4	0	2	2	-4	2
16	Schalke 04	4	0	2	2	-7	2
17	Hertha	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Bochum	4	0	0	4	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Union Berlin	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	M'gladbach	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Hoffenheim	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Dortmund	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Bayern Munich	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	FC Koln	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Wolfsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
11	Hertha	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Stuttgart	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Mainz	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-5	1
15	Ein Frankfurt	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Leverkusen	2	0	0	2	-4	0
17	Augsburg	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+12	6
2	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Dortmund	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Mainz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Union Berlin	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	+0	3
10	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	M'gladbach	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	FC Koln	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Stuttgart	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	RB Leipzig	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Bochum	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Hertha	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Wolfsburg	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.