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Premier League

Referee: S Attwell

Leeds

T U S S U

3–0

Full-time

Chelsea

S U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leeds Chelsea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

This season — Premier League · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

39% Possession 61%

12 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 7

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 7

16 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Leeds 7. · Chelsea 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Tottenham	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Man City	2	2	0	0	+6	6
4	Fulham	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Brentford	3	1	1	1	+3	4
6	Newcastle	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Leeds	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Chelsea	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Crystal Palace	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Nott'm Forest	3	1	1	1	-1	4
12	Southampton	3	1	1	1	-2	4
13	Aston Villa	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Bournemouth	3	1	0	2	-5	3
15	Liverpool	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Everton	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Wolves	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Leicester	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	West Ham	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Man United	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Fulham	2	1	1	0	+1	4
3	Man City	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Brentford	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Newcastle	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Aston Villa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Leeds	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nott'm Forest	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Crystal Palace	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Bournemouth	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Southampton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Chelsea	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Leicester	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Everton	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Man United	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Man City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Chelsea	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Southampton	2	1	0	1	-2	3
6	Leeds	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Liverpool	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Newcastle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Fulham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Brentford	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Nott'm Forest	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Everton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Leicester	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Wolves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Bournemouth	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Man United	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.