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Bundesliga

Referee: T Stieler

Union Berlin

S T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Dortmund

S T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

1,3

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 62%

67%

56%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

33%

56%

Both score Ø 44%

44%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,4

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

23% Possession 77%

14 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 5

6 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 8

3 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 5

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 1. · Dortmund 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Union Berlin	9	6	2	1	+10	20
2	Freiburg	9	5	3	1	+6	18
3	Hoffenheim	10	5	2	3	+7	17
4	Ein Frankfurt	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Bayern Munich	9	4	4	1	+17	16
6	M'gladbach	10	4	4	2	+4	16
7	FC Koln	10	4	4	2	+2	16
8	Dortmund	9	5	1	3	+1	16
9	Werder Bremen	10	4	3	3	+4	15
10	RB Leipzig	10	4	3	3	+2	15
11	Mainz	10	4	3	3	-2	15
12	Augsburg	10	4	1	5	-5	13
13	Wolfsburg	10	2	4	4	-6	10
14	Stuttgart	10	1	5	4	-2	8
15	Hertha	10	1	5	4	-3	8
16	Leverkusen	10	2	2	6	-7	8
17	Schalke 04	10	1	3	6	-14	6
18	Bochum	10	1	1	8	-18	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	M'gladbach	5	4	0	1	+8	12
3	Union Berlin	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Ein Frankfurt	6	3	1	2	+4	10
5	Hoffenheim	5	3	1	1	+4	10
6	FC Koln	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Dortmund	5	3	1	1	+2	10
8	Bayern Munich	4	2	2	0	+6	8
9	Freiburg	4	2	1	1	+0	7
10	Wolfsburg	5	1	3	1	-1	6
11	Stuttgart	6	1	2	3	-1	5
12	Werder Bremen	5	1	1	3	+0	4
13	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-1	4
14	Hertha	5	0	4	1	-1	4
15	Augsburg	5	1	1	3	-6	4
16	Schalke 04	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Bochum	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Mainz	4	0	3	1	-3	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mainz	6	4	0	2	+1	12
2	Freiburg	5	3	2	0	+6	11
3	Werder Bremen	5	3	2	0	+4	11
4	Union Berlin	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Augsburg	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Bayern Munich	5	2	2	1	+11	8
7	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	+3	7
8	Ein Frankfurt	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	FC Koln	5	1	3	1	-1	6
10	Dortmund	4	2	0	2	-1	6
11	Hertha	5	1	1	3	-2	4
12	M'gladbach	5	0	4	1	-4	4
13	Wolfsburg	5	1	1	3	-5	4
14	Leverkusen	5	1	1	3	-6	4
15	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Schalke 04	5	0	2	3	-7	2
17	RB Leipzig	5	0	2	3	-8	2
18	Bochum	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.