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DFB-Pokal
Referee: S Jablonski
Hannover
U S T T S
0–2
Full-time
Dortmund
T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
14 Shots 18
7 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
7 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
20 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Hannover 18. · Dortmund 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 2 2 0 0 +12 6
2 Hoffenheim 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Mainz 2 2 0 0 +6 6
4 Ein Frankfurt 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Darmstadt 2 2 0 0 +4 6
6 Bochum 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Nurnberg 2 2 0 0 +3 6
8 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +2 6
9 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +10 3
10 Karlsruhe 1 1 0 0 +8 3
11 M'gladbach 2 1 0 1 +7 3
12 Bielefeld 1 1 0 0 +6 3
13 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +5 3
14 Sandhausen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Augsburg 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
21 St Pauli 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Werder Bremen 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Union Berlin 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Stuttgart 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Elversberg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
27 Stuttgarter Kickers 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Hamburg 2 1 0 1 -2 3
29 VfB Lubeck 2 1 0 1 -2 3
30 Hertha 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Regensburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 FC Koln 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Holstein Kiel 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Braunschweig 2 0 1 1 -1 1
35 Waldhof Mannheim 2 0 1 1 -1 1
36 Straelen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Kaiserslautern 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Chemnitzer FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Dresden 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Hansa Rostock 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Bayreuth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Kaan-Marienborn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Illertissen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 Greuther Furth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 SV Rodinghausen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 Kickers Offenbach 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 TSV 1860 Munich 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Viktoria Berlin 1 0 0 1 -3 0
52 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -3 0
53 Erzgebirge Aue 1 0 0 1 -3 0
54 FC Ingolstadt 04 1 0 0 1 -3 0
55 Schwarz-Weiß Rehden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
56 BW Lohne 1 0 0 1 -4 0
57 Magdeburg 1 0 0 1 -4 0
58 Bremer Sv 1 0 0 1 -5 0
59 FC Viktoria Koln 1 0 0 1 -5 0
60 FV Engers 07 1 0 0 1 -6 0
61 Oberachern 1 0 0 1 -8 0
62 Neustrelitz 1 0 0 1 -8 0
63 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
64 Einheit Wernigerode 1 0 0 1 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Dortmund
11′
B. Arrey-Mbi 1–0
own goal
Fabian Kunze 🟨
35′
38′
🟨 Thorgan Hazard
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 J. Bellingham
↦ J. Brandt
62′
🔁 M. Hummels
↦ T. Meunier
Max Besuschkow 🟨
67′
68′
🔁 G. Reyna
↦ T. Hazard
68′
🔁 K. Adeyemi
↦ D. Malen
71′
J. Bellingham 1–1
75′
🟨 Emre Can
E. Leopold 🔁
↦ F. Kunze
75′
D. Köhn 🔁
↦ H. Weydandt
75′
S. Stolze 🔁
↦ J. Dehm
75′
S. Kerk 🔁
↦ H. Nielsen
82′
85′
🟥 Karim Adeyemi
90′
🔁 F. Passlack
↦ Y. Moukoko
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hannover

3-4-2-1
30 L. Weinkauf G
5 P. Neumann D
31 J. Börner D
4 B. Arrey-Mbi D
20 J. Dehm M
6 F. Kunze M
7 M. Besuschkow M
21 S. Muroya M
16 H. Nielsen F
14 M. Beier F
9 H. Weydandt F
Bench (9)
8 E. Leopold
18 D. Köhn
22 S. Stolze
37 S. Kerk
23 N. Tresoldi
24 A. Fóti
1 R. Zieler
11 L. Schaub
3 E. Çelebi

Coach: S. Leitl

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
1 G. Kobel G
24 T. Meunier D
25 N. Süle D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
13 Raphaël Guerreiro D
23 E. Can M
6 S. Özcan M
10 T. Hazard M
19 J. Brandt M
21 D. Malen M
18 Y. Moukoko F
Bench (9)
22 J. Bellingham
15 M. Hummels
7 G. Reyna
27 K. Adeyemi
30 F. Passlack
47 A. Papadopoulos
33 A. Meyer
36 T. Rothe
20 A. Modeste

Coach: E. Terzić

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.