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Primeira Liga
Referee: Hélder Malheiro
Portimonense
T T U U S
1–3
Full-time
Benfica
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Portimonense Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Primeira Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
20%
80%
Points per game
1,0
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 70%
80%
60%
Average goals
3,4
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,6
Conceded
2,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,47 xG 1,79
34% Possession 66%
9 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 7
1 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Portimonense 16. · Benfica 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Porto 6 5 1 0 +5 +5.6 16
2 Boavista 5 4 1 0 +8 +2.0 13
3 Sp Lisbon 5 4 1 0 +6 +4.8 13
4 Benfica 5 4 0 1 +7 +6.1 12
5 Famalicao 6 3 2 1 +2 -3.6 11
6 Guimaraes 6 3 1 2 -1 -0.8 10
7 Casa Pia 6 2 3 1 +3 +0.8 9
8 Sp Braga 5 2 1 2 +0 -1.9 7
9 Moreirense 6 2 1 3 -3 -1.0 7
10 Gil Vicente 6 2 0 4 +3 -3.2 6
11 Farense 6 2 0 4 +1 -1.0 6
12 Arouca 6 1 3 2 -1 +0.2 6
13 Rio Ave 5 1 2 2 -1 -0.0 5
14 Vizela 6 1 2 3 -3 -0.8 5
15 Estrela 6 1 2 3 -3 -1.3 5
16 Portimonense 5 1 2 2 -7 -3.3 5
17 Estoril 6 1 1 4 -3 +1.6 4
18 Chaves 6 0 1 5 -13 -4.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Portimonense Benfica
5′
A. Bah 0–1
O. Kökçü
17′
P. Musa 0–2
David Neres
Helio Varela 🟨
35′
Rildo 🔁
↦ Estrela
40′
Half-time 0–2
Guga 🔁
↦ Igor Formiga
46′
46′
🔁 D. Jurásek
↦ A. Bah
46′
🔁 João Neves
↦ O. Kökçü
46′
🔁 Arthur Cabral
↦ P. Musa
1–2 Hélio Varela
S. Jasper
56′
Rildo ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
58′
66′
David Neres 1–3
Rafa
Paulinho 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Costa
80′
Maurício 🔁
↦ Dener
80′
85′
🔁 Tomás Araújo
↦ Florentino
Zinho 🔁
↦ Hélio Varela
90′
91′
🔁 C. Tengstedt
↦ Rafa
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Portimonense

3-5-2
12 Vinícius G
44 Pedrão D
43 Alemão D
22 Filipe Relvas D
33 Igor Formiga M
13 Dener M
20 Estrela M
11 Carlinhos M
18 Gonçalo Costa M
7 S. Jasper F
77 Hélio Varela F
Bench (9)
37 Rildo
27 Guga
9 Paulinho
8 Maurício
99 Zinho
14 M. Seck
1 Gabriel Souza
76 Alcobia
25 Lucas Ventura

Coach: Paulo Sérgio

Benfica

4-2-3-1
1 A. Trubin G
6 A. Bah D
30 N. Otamendi D
5 Morato D
8 F. Aursnes D
10 O. Kökçü M
61 Florentino M
7 David Neres M
27 Rafa M
20 João Mário M
33 P. Musa F
Bench (9)
13 D. Jurásek
87 João Neves
9 Arthur Cabral
44 Tomás Araújo
19 C. Tengstedt
22 Chiquinho
24 Samuel Soares
47 Tiago Gouveia
4 António Silva

Coach: R. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
10,84
U
6,18
B ✓
1,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,48
U2,5
2,59
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Hélder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.