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Champions League
Referee: M Krogh
Young Boys
T S U S U
1–3
Full-time
Man City
T T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/2 matches
Win Ø 63%
25%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 88%
75%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
2,8
4,0
Scored
1,5
3,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,43 xG 4,25
32% Possession 68%
10 Shots 26
4 Shots on target 14
3 Blocked shots 7
10 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Young Boys Man City
Joel Monteiro 🟨
4′
Half-time 0–1
48′
⚽ M. Akanji 0–1
1–1 M. Elia ⚽
C. Niasse
52′
Mohamed Camara 🟨
64′
67′
⚽ E. Haaland 1–2
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ Joël Monteiro
72′
72′
🔁 Bernardo Silva
↦ J. Doku
72′
🔁 J. Álvarez
↦ Matheus Nunes
J. Nsame 🔁
↦ C. Itten
73′
75′
ℹ️ Julián Álvarez
VAR: Goal cancelled
D. Males 🔁
↦ S. Lauper
80′
N. Persson 🔁
↦ U. Garcia
80′
S. Janko 🔁
↦ L. Blum
80′
86′
⚽ E. Haaland 1–3
Rodri
90′
🔁 Sergio Gómez
↦ E. Haaland
90′
🔁 K. Phillips
↦ Rodri
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-3-3
1 A. Racioppi G
27 L. Blum D
13 M. Camara D
23 L. Benito D
21 U. Garcia D
7 F. Ugrinic M
30 S. Lauper M
20 C. Niasse M
77 Joël Monteiro F
9 C. Itten F
15 M. Elia F
Bench (12)
35 S. Ganvoula
18 J. Nsame
39 D. Males
19 N. Persson
17 S. Janko
28 F. Lustenberger
26 D. von Ballmoos
4 A. Amenda
40 D. Marzino
8 Ł. Łakomy
14 M. Chaiwa
11 E. Colley

Coach: R. Wicky

Man City

3-2-4-1
31 Ederson G
25 M. Akanji D
3 Rúben Dias D
6 N. Aké D
82 R. Lewis M
16 Rodri M
11 J. Doku F
27 Matheus Nunes M
8 M. Kovačić M
10 J. Grealish F
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (12)
20 Bernardo Silva
19 J. Álvarez
21 Sergio Gómez
4 K. Phillips
2 K. Walker
24 J. Gvardiol
5 J. Stones
47 P. Foden
92 M. Hamilton
18 S. Ortega
33 S. Carson
52 O. Bobb

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Krogh · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.