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Ligue 1

Referee: A Kherradji

Lille

U S U S S

2–0

Full-time

Angers

T S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Angers

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,8

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ligue 1 · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

0,0

Conceded

0,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,88 xG 0,58

65% Possession 35%

11 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 2

1 Offside 4

9 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lille 5. · Angers 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+9	+5.8	6
2	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+3	+3.7	6
3	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.1	3
4	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
5	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.0	3
6	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
7	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
8	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
9	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
10	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
11	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-6	-2.7	1
12	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
13	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
14	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
15	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.0	0
16	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.7	0
17	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.1	0
18	Lyon	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+6	+3.2	3
2	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+3	-0.0	3
3	Auxerre	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.2	3
4	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.5	3
5	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
6	Toulouse	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
7	Angers	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
8	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.2	0
9	Reims	1	0	0	1	-2	-2.0	0
10	Le Havre	1	0	0	1	-3	-2.7	0
11	Brest	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.1	3
2	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	+2.7	3
3	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.2	3
4	Lille	1	1	0	0	+2	+2.0	3
5	Lens	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
6	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.5	1
7	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
8	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.2	0
9	St Etienne	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.5	0
10	Lyon	1	0	0	1	-3	+0.0	0
11	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-6	-3.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.