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Ligue 1
Referee: W Delajod
Monaco
S S S S S
1–1
Full-time
Lens
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Lens
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,5
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,8
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,5
1,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,03 xG 2,24
61% Possession 39%
14 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 7
2 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 21
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 5. · Lens 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Marseille 3 2 1 0 +6 +3.2 7
2 Nantes 3 2 1 0 +4 -0.4 7
3 Paris SG 2 2 0 0 +9 +5.8 6
4 Lille 2 2 0 0 +4 +2.3 6
5 Monaco 2 2 0 0 +3 +3.7 6
6 Lens 2 2 0 0 +3 +3.0 6
7 Strasbourg 3 1 1 1 +1 -1.1 4
8 Rennes 2 1 0 1 +1 +0.4 3
9 Le Havre 2 1 0 1 -1 -1.4 3
10 Auxerre 2 1 0 1 -1 +0.9 3
11 Brest 3 1 0 2 -2 -0.2 3
12 Lyon 3 1 0 2 -4 -2.0 3
13 Toulouse 3 0 2 1 -2 +1.1 2
14 Nice 2 0 1 1 -1 -0.9 1
15 Reims 2 0 1 1 -2 -4.3 1
16 Montpellier 3 0 1 2 -8 -3.2 1
17 Angers 2 0 0 2 -3 -1.1 0
18 St Etienne 3 0 0 3 -7 -5.7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Lens
9′
🟨 Jonathan Gradit
34′
🟨 Ruben Aguilar
39′
🟨 Florian Sotoca
40′
🔁 David Pereira da Costa
↦ A. Zaroury
Half-time 0–0
Vanderson 🔁
↦ J. Teze
46′
46′
🔁 R. Labeau Lascary
↦ W. Saïd
Vanderson 🟨
54′
64′
🔁 H. Ojediran
↦ A. Thomasson
G. Ilenikhena 🔁
↦ E. Ben Seghir
65′
B. Embolo 🔁
↦ F. Balogun
65′
65′
🔁 P. Frankowski
↦ R. Aguilar
Caio Henrique 🔁
↦ K. Ouattara
66′
68′
🟨 Remy Labeau Lascary
A. Golovin 🔁
↦ C. Mawissa
81′
82′
ℹ️ Remy Labeau Lascary
VAR: Goal cancelled
1–0 D. Zakaria
Caio Henrique
84′
85′
🔁 M. Satriano
↦ J. Chávez
92′
ℹ️ Hamzat Ojediran
VAR: Penalty confirmed
94′
P. Frankowski 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-3-1
16 P. Köhn G
4 J. Teze D
17 W. Singo D
13 C. Mawissa D
20 K. Ouattara D
88 S. Magassa M
6 D. Zakaria M
11 M. Akliouche M
18 T. Minamino M
7 E. Ben Seghir M
9 F. Balogun F
Bench (9)
2 Vanderson
21 G. Ilenikhena
36 B. Embolo
12 Caio Henrique
10 A. Golovin
27 K. Diatta
5 T. Kehrer
22 M. Salisu
50 Y. Lienard

Coach: A. Hütter

Lens

3-4-1-2
30 B. Samba G
24 J. Gradit D
25 A. Khusanov D
14 F. Medina D
2 R. Aguilar M
28 A. Thomasson M
18 A. Diouf M
13 J. Chávez M
38 A. Zaroury F
7 F. Sotoca F
22 W. Saïd F
Bench (9)
10 David Pereira da Costa
36 R. Labeau Lascary
15 H. Ojediran
29 P. Frankowski
9 M. Satriano
1 D. Petrić
26 N. Mendy
8 M'Bala Nzola
20 M. Sarr

Coach: W. Still

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,86
U ✓
3,89
B
3,92
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Delajod · 165 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.