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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Charleroi
S T S S U
1–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Pro League · 7/5 matches
Win Ø 59%
57%
60%
Points per game
1,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
29%
60%
Both score Ø 27%
14%
40%
Average goals
1,7
2,4
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
0,4
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,64 xG 1,45
49% Possession 51%
14 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 6
3 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 5
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Charleroi 1. · Club Brugge 4.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Charleroi 7 4 1 2 +6 +4.7 13
2 Genk 6 4 1 1 +5 +10.2 13
3 Dender 7 3 2 2 +0 -1.0 11
4 Club Brugge 5 3 1 1 +6 +6.1 10
5 Antwerp 4 3 0 1 +6 +1.4 9
6 Gent 6 3 0 3 +3 -2.3 9
7 Anderlecht 5 2 3 0 +3 +2.8 9
8 St. Gilloise 6 2 3 1 +2 +4.3 9
9 Standard 5 2 2 1 +1 -3.9 8
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 6 1 4 1 +1 +1.5 7
11 Westerlo 6 2 1 3 -1 +0.5 7
12 Mechelen 5 2 1 2 -1 -1.3 7
13 St Truiden 6 1 2 3 -8 -5.2 5
14 Kortrijk 6 1 1 4 -7 -2.3 4
15 Cercle Brugge 6 1 1 4 -8 -8.3 4
16 Beerschot VA 6 0 1 5 -8 -7.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Club Brugge
Stelios Andreou 🟨
34′
Daan Heymans 🟨
36′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 P. Guiagon
A. Bernier
48′
55′
🟥 Raphael Onyedika
66′
🔁 C. Nielsen
↦ H. Vetlesen
66′
🔁 R. Vermant
↦ A. Skov Olsen
Oday Dabbagh 🔁
↦ G. Kyei
67′
Parfait Guiagon 🟨
74′
76′
🟨 Romeo Vermant
82′
🔁 K. Sabbe
↦ J. Ordoñez
82′
🔁 M. Skóraś
↦ J. Seys
I. Mbenza 🔁
↦ P. Guiagon
84′
A. Flips 🔁
↦ A. Bernier
84′
89′
🔁 C. Talbi
↦ C. Tzolis
91′
H. Vanaken 1–1
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
30 M. Koné G
98 J. Pétris D
4 Aiham Ousou D
21 S. Andreou D
15 V. Dragsnes D
6 A. Zorgane M
5 É. Camara M
17 A. Bernier M
18 D. Heymans M
8 P. Guiagon M
99 G. Kyei F
Bench (9)
9 Oday Dabbagh
7 I. Mbenza
70 A. Flips
33 T. Defourny
80 Y. Sylla
29 Ž. Rogelj
22 Y. Titraoui
95 C. Keita
24 M. Nzita

Coach: R. De Mil

Club Brugge

4-2-3-1
22 S. Mignolet G
65 J. Seys D
4 J. Ordoñez D
44 B. Mechele D
55 M. De Cuyper D
10 H. Vetlesen M
15 R. Onyedika M
7 A. Skov Olsen M
20 H. Vanaken M
8 C. Tzolis M
19 G. Nilsson F
Bench (9)
27 C. Nielsen
17 R. Vermant
64 K. Sabbe
21 M. Skóraś
68 C. Talbi
2 Z. Romero
29 N. Jackers
30 A. Jashari
9 Ferran Jutglà

Coach: N. Hayen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,76
U ✓
3,77
B
1,89
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,69
U2,5 ✓
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.