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Bundesliga
Referee: J Weinberger
Sturm Graz
T T U S T
5–0
Full-time
Salzburg
T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sturm Graz Salzburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,0
This season — Bundesliga · 8/6 matches
Win Ø 65%
63%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
63%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

46% Possession 54%
18 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sturm Graz 2. · Salzburg 4. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 SK Rapid 9 5 3 1 +3 18
2 Sturm Graz 8 5 1 2 +4 16
3 BW Linz 9 4 2 3 -1 14
4 Salzburg 6 4 1 1 +7 13
5 Wolfsberger AC 9 4 1 4 +5 13
6 Hartberg 8 3 3 2 +1 12
7 Austria Vienna 9 3 3 3 +0 12
8 A. Klagenfurt 8 3 2 3 -5 11
9 LASK 9 3 1 5 -1 10
10 Tirol 9 2 3 4 -3 9
11 Altach 9 2 2 5 -3 8
12 Grazer AK 9 0 4 5 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

28. Apr -24 Salzburg – Sturm Graz 2–2 31. Mar -24 Sturm Graz – Salzburg 0–1 9. Feb -24 Salzburg – Sturm Graz 1–1 16. Sep -23 Sturm Graz – Salzburg 2–2 21. May -23 Salzburg – Sturm Graz 2–1

Match report

Sturm Graz Salzburg
Seedy Jatta ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
9′
1–0 M. Yalcouyé ⚽
15′
29′
🔁 D. Guindo
↦ L. Morgalla
2–0 M. Biereth ⚽
D. Lavalée
30′
Emanuel Aiwu 🟨
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 K. Piątkowski
↦ H. Blank
3–0 M. Biereth ⚽
T. Chukwuani
50′
57′
🔁 B. Clark
↦ A. Dedić
4–0 M. Biereth ⚽
W. Bøving
62′
66′
🟨 Kamil Piątkowski
73′
🔁 E. Baidoo
↦ K. Konaté
73′
🔁 L. Gourna-Douath
↦ O. Gloukh
A. Camara 🔁
↦ S. Jatta
74′
5–0 E. Aiwu ⚽
W. Bøving
76′
E. Yardımcı 🔁
↦ M. Biereth
78′
T. Horvat 🔁
↦ M. Yalcouyé
78′
S. Hierländer 🔁
↦ O. Kiteishvili
87′
A. Malić 🔁
↦ J. Gazibegović
87′
90′
🟨 Stefan Bajčetić
Full-time 5–0

Line-ups

Sturm Graz

4-4-1-1
1 K. Scherpen G
22 J. Gazibegović D
47 E. Aiwu D
35 N. Geyrhofer D
24 D. Lavalée D
8 M. Yalcouyé M
21 T. Chukwuani M
15 W. Bøving M
10 O. Kiteishvili M
20 S. Jatta F
18 M. Biereth F
Bench (7)
36 A. Camara
9 E. Yardımcı
19 T. Horvat
25 S. Hierländer
23 A. Malić
14 L. Zvonarek
53 D. Khudyakov

Coach: C. Ilzer

Salzburg

4-3-3
1 J. Blaswich G
39 L. Morgalla D
6 S. Baidoo D
4 H. Blank D
70 A. Dedić D
18 M. Bidstrup M
8 Stefan Bajčetić M
7 N. Capaldo M
28 A. Daghim F
19 K. Konaté F
30 O. Gloukh F
Bench (7)
29 D. Guindo
91 K. Piątkowski
10 B. Clark
20 E. Baidoo
27 L. Gourna-Douath
24 A. Schlager
15 M. Diambou

Coach: P. Lijnders

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Weinberger · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.