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Champions League
Referee: D Massa
Bayern Munich
S T S S S
1–0
Full-time
Benfica
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
4,5
4,0
Scored
3,3
3,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+2,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
5,7
3,7
Scored
3,3
2,3
Conceded
2,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,27 xG 0,08
74% Possession 26%
24 Shots 1
10 Shots on target 0
5 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 9
10 Corners 0
1 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Bayern Munich Benfica
26′
🟨 Issa Kaboré
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 V. Pavlidis
↦ I. Kaboré
46′
🔁 J. Beste
↦ Z. Amdouni
L. Sané 🔁
↦ M. Olise
56′
56′
🔁 Á. Di María
↦ K. Aktürkoğlu
1–0 J. Musiala ⚽
H. Kane
67′
71′
🟨 Orkun Kökçü
K. Coman 🔁
↦ S. Gnabry
72′
Jamal Musiala 🟨
73′
79′
🔁 Arthur Cabral
↦ O. Kökçü
86′
🔁 B. Rollheiser
↦ Renato Sanches
T. Müller 🔁
↦ J. Musiala
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Bayern Munich

4-2-3-1
1 M. Neuer G
27 K. Laimer D
2 D. Upamecano D
3 Kim Min-Jae D
19 A. Davies D
6 J. Kimmich M
16 João Palhinha M
17 M. Olise M
42 J. Musiala M
7 S. Gnabry M
9 H. Kane F
Bench (10)
10 L. Sané
11 K. Coman
25 T. Müller
15 E. Dier
18 D. Peretz
8 L. Goretzka
20 A. Ibrahimović
39 M. Tel
35 M. Schmitt
22 Raphaël Guerreiro

Coach: V. Kompany

Benfica

5-3-2
1 A. Trubin G
28 I. Kaboré D
44 Tomás Araújo D
30 N. Otamendi D
4 António Silva D
3 Álvaro Fernández D
85 Renato Sanches M
8 F. Aursnes M
10 O. Kökçü M
7 Z. Amdouni F
17 K. Aktürkoğlu F
Bench (11)
14 V. Pavlidis
37 J. Beste
11 Á. Di María
9 Arthur Cabral
32 B. Rollheiser
81 A. Bajrami
75 André Gomes
71 Leandro Santos
61 Florentino
21 A. Schjelderup
24 Samuel Soares

Coach: Bruno Lage

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Massa · 154 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.