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Champions League
Referee: O Grinfeeld
Shakhtar Donetsk
U T U T T
2–1
Full-time
Young Boys
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Shakhtar Donetsk Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
0%
40%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
33%
60%
Both score Ø 10%
0%
20%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
0,0
0,8
Conceded
1,3
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,96 xG 0,95
49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 2
3 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Shakhtar Donetsk Young Boys
27′
⚽ K. Imeri 0–1
C. Niasse
1–1 O. Zubkov ⚽
H. Sudakov
31′
33′
🔁 Ł. Łakomy
↦ L. Benito
40′
🟨 Lewin Blum
2–1 H. Sudakov ⚽
Eguinaldo
41′
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 J. Monteiro
↦ K. Imeri
48′
🟨 Zachary Athekame
62′
🔁 R. Smith
↦ S. Lauper
62′
🔁 A. Virginius
↦ E. Colley
62′
🔁 M. Elia
↦ D. Males
D. Sikan 🔁
↦ Eguinaldo
68′
70′
🟨 Cheikh Niasse
Marlon Gomes 🔁
↦ Kevin
79′
Yukhym Konoplia 🟨
81′
B. Franjić 🔁
↦ A. Bondarenko
93′
T. Stepanenko 🔁
↦ D. Kryskiv
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Shakhtar Donetsk

4-2-3-1
31 D. Riznyk G
26 Y. Konoplia D
5 V. Bondar D
22 M. Matviienko D
13 Pedro Henrique D
21 A. Bondarenko M
8 D. Kryskiv M
11 O. Zubkov M
10 H. Sudakov M
37 Kevin M
7 Eguinaldo F
Bench (12)
14 D. Sikan
30 Marlon Gomes
4 B. Franjić
6 T. Stepanenko
16 I. Azarovi
38 Pedrinho
2 L. Traoré
18 A. Ghram
72 K. Fesiun
17 Vinícius Tobias
29 Y. Nazaryna
39 Newerton

Coach: M. Pusic

Young Boys

4-2-3-1
33 M. Keller G
24 Z. Athekame D
30 S. Lauper D
23 L. Benito D
27 L. Blum D
7 F. Ugrinic M
20 C. Niasse M
39 D. Males M
10 K. Imeri M
11 E. Colley M
35 S. Ganvoula F
Bench (10)
8 Ł. Łakomy
77 J. Monteiro
66 R. Smith
21 A. Virginius
15 M. Elia
26 D. von Ballmoos
60 J. Dema
40 D. Marzino
42 L. Jetzer
9 C. Itten

Coach: J. Magnin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

O Grinfeeld · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.