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Copa del Rey
Referee: Daniel Miranda
Xerez
0–1
Full-time
Ceuta
S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 1 1 0 0 +7 3
2 Yeclano 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Betis 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Villarreal 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Osasuna 1 1 0 0 +5 3
6 Deportiva Minera 1 1 0 0 +5 3
7 Vallecano 1 1 0 0 +5 3
8 Celta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Zaragoza 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Unionistas de Salamanca 1 1 0 0 +4 3
11 Barbastro 1 1 0 0 +4 3
12 Espanol 1 1 0 0 +4 3
13 Girona 1 1 0 0 +4 3
14 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Valladolid 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Elche 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Cadiz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
19 Vic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Barakaldo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Manises 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Tenerife 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Huesca 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Ath Madrid 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Granada 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Cultural Leonesa 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Santander 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Estepona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Cacereño 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Gimnastic 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Zamora 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Europa Fc 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Leganes 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Orihuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Sant Andreu 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Almeria 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Sp Gijon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 UD Logroñés 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Eldense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
47 Parla Escuela 1 1 0 0 +1 3
48 Salamanca UDS 1 1 0 0 +1 3
49 Conquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
50 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 UD San Pedro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
53 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
54 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Ponferradina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Real Ávila 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Oviedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 San Tirso 2 0 1 1 -4 1
64 Gévora 2 0 1 1 -5 1
65 Ontiñena 2 0 1 1 -7 1
66 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
67 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
68 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 SS Reyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Don Benito 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Cuarte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Llanera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
103 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
104 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
105 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -4 0
106 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Extremadura 1924 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
109 Tudelano 1 0 0 1 -5 0
110 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Xerez Ceuta
7′
⚽ Dani Aquino 0–1
38′
🟨 V. Herranz Corral
Half-time 0–1
Álex del Río 🔁
↦ Iago Díaz
46′
C. Taoualy 🔁
↦ Javi Misffut
61′
David Santisteban 🔁
↦ Diego Domínguez
61′
62′
🔁 Cristian Fernández
↦ Taufek
62′
🔁 Aisar
↦ Álex Blesa
62′
🔁 M. Bellotti
↦ Víctor Corral
65′
🔁 S. El Ftouhi
↦ Cristian Rodríguez
A. Coll Makole 🟨
69′
Adrián Valiente 🔁
↦ Armengol Portoles
72′
Nané García 🔁
↦ Adri Rodríguez
78′
S. Lopez Matellan 🟨
81′
83′
🔁 Lolo González
↦ Jamelli
88′
🟨 Lolo Gonzalez
G. Barba 🟥
92′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Xerez

13 Antonio Santos
12 Josete Malagón
2 Ramón García
5 Geovanni Barba
8 Iago Díaz
4 Adri Rodríguez
14 Javi Misffut
15 David García
7 Diego Domínguez
21 Sergio López
22 Armengol Portoles
Bench (10)
16 Álex del Río
10 C. Taoualy
19 David Santisteban
26 Adrián Valiente
9 Nané García
20 Paco Torres
23 Alberto Ulloa
6 Miguel Reina
1 Ismael Gil
3 Adolfo Romero

Coach: Checa

Ceuta

13 Guille Vallejo
6 Carlos Hernández
2 Fran Delgado
25 Yago Cantero
15 Jacobo Guzmán
10 Cristian Rodríguez
14 Álex Blesa
12 Víctor Corral
11 Dani Aquino
19 Jamelli
17 Taufek
Bench (11)
22 Cristian Fernández
7 Aisar
5 M. Bellotti
18 S. El Ftouhi
3 Lolo González
9 Rodri
20 Andy
1 Pedro López
16 Redru
29 Sergio Guichard
27 Darío Lozano

Coach: José Juan Romero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.