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Champions League
Referee: M Lukjančukas
Young Boys
S U T S U
1–6
Full-time
Atalanta
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Young Boys Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,2
3,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
67%
25%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,3
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
2,2
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

0,81 xG 2,54
45% Possession 55%
9 Shots 18
1 Shots on target 10
5 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
7 Corners 9
1 Offside 4
16 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Young Boys Atalanta
9′
⚽ M. Retegui 0–1
C. De Ketelaere
1–1 S. Ganvoula ⚽
F. Ugrinic
11′
28′
⚽ C. De Ketelaere 1–2
O. Kossounou
31′
⚽ S. Kolašinac 1–3
C. De Ketelaere
39′
⚽ M. Retegui 1–4
C. De Ketelaere
Ebrima Colley 🟨
44′
45′
🟨 Marco Brescianini
Half-time 1–4
D. Males 🔁
↦ Ł. Łakomy
46′
A. Virginius 🔁
↦ E. Colley
46′
56′
⚽ C. De Ketelaere 1–5
M. Pašalić
C. Itten 🔁
↦ S. Ganvoula
60′
63′
🔁 N. Zaniolo
↦ M. Retegui
63′
🔁 L. Samardžić
↦ M. Brescianini
M. Elia 🔁
↦ J. Monteiro
67′
Meschack Elia 🟨
73′
75′
🔁 M. Palestra
↦ C. De Ketelaere
75′
🔁 R. Tolói
↦ S. Kolašinac
Z. Athekame 🔁
↦ J. Hadjam
78′
80′
🔁 B. Godfrey
↦ I. Hien
90′
⚽ L. Samardžić 1–6
O. Kossounou
Full-time 1–6

Line-ups

Young Boys

4-3-3
26 D. von Ballmoos G
27 L. Blum D
13 M. Camara D
30 S. Lauper D
3 J. Hadjam D
7 F. Ugrinic M
20 C. Niasse M
8 Ł. Łakomy M
11 E. Colley F
35 S. Ganvoula F
77 J. Monteiro F
Bench (10)
39 D. Males
21 A. Virginius
9 C. Itten
15 M. Elia
24 Z. Athekame
66 R. Smith
10 K. Imeri
23 L. Benito
33 M. Keller
40 D. Marzino

Coach: J. Magnin

Atalanta

3-4-2-1
29 M. Carnesecchi G
3 O. Kossounou D
4 I. Hien D
23 S. Kolašinac D
7 J. Cuadrado M
15 M. de Roon M
8 M. Pašalić M
22 M. Ruggeri M
17 C. De Ketelaere F
44 M. Brescianini F
32 M. Retegui F
Bench (11)
10 N. Zaniolo
24 L. Samardžić
27 M. Palestra
2 R. Tolói
5 B. Godfrey
11 A. Lookman
46 A. Manzoni
16 R. Bellanova
31 F. Rossi
19 B. Djimsiti
28 Rui Patrício

Coach: G. Gasperini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Lukjančukas · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.