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Super League
Referee: L Cibelli
Luzern
T T U S T
1–1
Full-time
Young Boys
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luzern Young Boys
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
43%
29%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 68%
71%
64%
Both score Ø 68%
71%
64%
Average goals
3,4
2,9
Scored
1,9
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,63 xG 1,50
51% Possession 49%
8 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 12
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 23
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Luzern 5. · Young Boys 9.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Zurich 14 7 5 2 +7 -1.0 26
2 Basel 14 8 1 5 +20 +9.0 25
3 Lugano 14 7 4 3 +6 +2.3 25
4 Servette 14 7 4 3 +2 +0.9 25
5 Luzern 14 6 4 4 +4 +1.2 22
6 St. Gallen 14 5 5 4 +6 -2.0 20
7 Lausanne 14 6 2 6 +2 +9.1 20
8 Sion 14 4 5 5 +0 +8.0 17
9 Young Boys 14 4 4 6 -5 -2.4 16
10 Yverdon 14 4 3 7 -10 -9.8 15
11 Winterthur 14 3 2 9 -21 -13.4 11
12 Grasshoppers 14 2 3 9 -11 -2.0 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Luzern Young Boys
30′
🟨 Filip Ugrinić
34′
D. Males 0–1
A. Virginius
Tyron Owusu 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Z. Athekame
↦ J. Hadjam
58′
🟨 Łukasz Łakomy
60′
🔁 M. Elia
↦ K. Imeri
D. Rrudhani 🔁
↦ T. Owusu
61′
S. Ottiger 🔁
↦ D. Ulrich
61′
72′
🟨 Zachary Athekame
A. Grbic 🔁
↦ L. Villiger
75′
J. Kadák 🔁
↦ K. Spadanuda
75′
1–1 T. Klidje
D. Rrudhani
79′
Thibault Klidje ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
81′
81′
🔁 E. Colley
↦ A. Virginius
84′
🟨 Cédric Itten
86′
🔁 S. Ganvoula
↦ D. Males
B. Freimann 🔁
↦ S. Knezevic
95′
Donat Rrudhani 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Luzern

4-3-1-2
1 P. Loretz G
20 P. Dorn D
4 L. Jaquez D
5 S. Knezevic D
22 D. Ulrich D
7 K. Spadanuda M
8 A. Stanković M
29 L. Winkler M
24 T. Owusu M
17 T. Klidje F
27 L. Villiger F
Bench (9)
11 D. Rrudhani
2 S. Ottiger
9 A. Grbic
16 J. Kadák
46 B. Freimann
3 J. Löfgren
28 R. Dantas Fernandes
90 V. Vasić
68 M. Walker

Coach: M. Frick

Young Boys

4-4-1-1
26 D. von Ballmoos G
27 L. Blum D
13 M. Camara D
30 S. Lauper D
3 J. Hadjam D
39 D. Males M
7 F. Ugrinic M
8 Ł. Łakomy M
21 A. Virginius M
10 K. Imeri F
9 C. Itten F
Bench (7)
24 Z. Athekame
15 M. Elia
11 E. Colley
35 S. Ganvoula
33 M. Keller
5 A. Husic
20 C. Niasse

Coach: J. Magnin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Cibelli · 109 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.