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Champions League
Referee: R Obrenović
Monaco
T T S S S
2–3
Full-time
Benfica
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
4,2
Scored
2,2
3,2
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
75%
75%
Both score Ø 63%
75%
50%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,69 xG 3,04
46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 6
12 Free kicks against 8
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Monaco Benfica
5′
🟨 Florentino Luís
1–0 E. Ben Seghir ⚽
A. Golovin
13′
29′
🟨 Álvaro Carreras
Denis Zakaria 🟨
40′
Wilfried Singo 🟨
41′
Thilo Kehrer 🟨
41′
42′
🟨 Kerem Aktürkoğlu
Half-time 1–1
48′
⚽ V. Pavlidis 1–1
Maghnes Akliouche ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
51′
55′
ℹ️ Alexander Bah
VAR: Goal cancelled
C. Mawissa 🔁
↦ Caio Henrique
57′
S. Magassa 🔁
↦ L. Camara
57′
Wilfried Singo 🟨
58′
Wilfried Singo 🟥
58′
M. Salisu 🔁
↦ E. Ben Seghir
63′
F. Balogun 🔁
↦ B. Embolo
63′
65′
🔁 Arthur Cabral
↦ V. Pavlidis
65′
🔁 Z. Amdouni
↦ Florentino
2–1 S. Magassa ⚽
67′
Christian Mawissa 🟨
79′
84′
⚽ Arthur Cabral 2–2
Á. Di María
85′
🔁 L. Barreiro
↦ F. Aursnes
88′
⚽ Z. Amdouni 2–3
Á. Di María
G. Ilenikhena 🔁
↦ D. Zakaria
91′
92′
🔁 B. Rollheiser
↦ Á. Di María
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-3-1
1 R. Majecki G
2 Vanderson D
17 W. Singo D
5 T. Kehrer D
12 Caio Henrique D
15 L. Camara M
6 D. Zakaria M
11 M. Akliouche M
7 E. Ben Seghir M
10 A. Golovin M
36 B. Embolo F
Bench (12)
13 C. Mawissa
88 S. Magassa
22 M. Salisu
9 F. Balogun
21 G. Ilenikhena
4 J. Teze
20 K. Ouattara
50 Y. Lienard
16 P. Köhn
46 J. Tincrès
18 T. Minamino
8 E. Matazo

Coach: A. Hütter

Benfica

4-3-3
1 A. Trubin G
6 A. Bah D
44 Tomás Araújo D
30 N. Otamendi D
3 Álvaro Fernández D
8 F. Aursnes M
61 Florentino M
10 O. Kökçü M
11 Á. Di María F
14 V. Pavlidis F
17 K. Aktürkoğlu F
Bench (12)
9 Arthur Cabral
7 Z. Amdouni
18 L. Barreiro
32 B. Rollheiser
91 Tiago Parente
81 A. Bajrami
60 Nuno Félix
4 António Silva
24 Samuel Soares
21 A. Schjelderup
75 André Gomes
28 I. Kaboré

Coach: Bruno Lage

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

R Obrenović · 32 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.