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Champions League
Referee: Alejandro Hernández
Sparta Praha
U T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Inter
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Praha Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
4,2
2,7
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
3,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,8
+1,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 12/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
58%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,7
1,3
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,9
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

0,36 xG 0,88
31% Possession 69%
10 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sparta Praha Inter
6′
🟨 Denzel Dumfries
12′
L. Martínez 0–1
A. Bastoni
Half-time 0–1
Victor Olatunji 🟨
52′
63′
ℹ️ Denzel Dumfries
VAR: Goal cancelled
63′
🔁 D. Frattesi
↦ N. Barella
64′
🔁 M. Darmian
↦ D. Dumfries
67′
🟨 Kristjan Asllani
J. Zelený 🔁
↦ M. Ryneš
70′
71′
🔁 Carlos Augusto
↦ F. Dimarco
71′
🔁 P. Zieliński
↦ K. Asllani
L. Haraslín 🔁
↦ V. Birmančević
74′
E. Krasniqi 🔁
↦ V. Olatunji
79′
M. Suchomel 🔁
↦ T. Wiesner
79′
82′
🔁 M. Taremi
↦ L. Martínez
Ermal Krasniqi 🟨
95′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Sparta Praha

3-5-2
1 P. Vindahl G
41 M. Vitík D
27 F. Panák D
25 A. Sørensen D
28 T. Wiesner M
18 L. Sadílek M
6 K. Kairinen M
20 Q. Laçi M
32 M. Ryneš M
7 V. Olatunji F
14 V. Birmančević F
Bench (11)
30 J. Zelený
22 L. Haraslín
29 E. Krasniqi
2 M. Suchomel
5 M. Ross
46 J. Heerkens
13 K. Daněk
44 J. Surovčík
21 J. Pešek
54 L. Penxa
38 D. Rus

Coach: L. Friis

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
28 B. Pavard D
6 S. de Vrij D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
21 K. Asllani M
22 H. Mkhitaryan M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 L. Martínez F
9 M. Thuram F
Bench (11)
16 D. Frattesi
36 M. Darmian
30 Carlos Augusto
7 P. Zieliński
99 M. Taremi
8 M. Arnautović
17 T. Buchanan
40 A. Calligaris
56 G. Re Cecconi
13 Josep Martínez
54 M. Zanchetta

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.