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Champions League
Referee: D Siebert
Arsenal
U T U S U
3–0
Full-time
Dinamo Zagreb
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Dinamo Zagreb
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
4,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 6/8 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
33%
63%
Both score Ø 28%
17%
38%
Average goals
2,2
3,8
Scored
1,8
1,9
Conceded
0,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,30 xG 0,13
63% Possession 37%
17 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 0
8 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
11 Corners 3
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Arsenal Dinamo Zagreb
1–0 D. Rice ⚽
K. Havertz
2′
38′
🟨 Arijan Ademi
Half-time 1–0
Raheem Sterling 🟨
47′
Jurriën Timber 🟨
51′
E. Nwaneri 🔁
↦ R. Sterling
58′
T. Partey 🔁
↦ J. Timber
59′
59′
🔁 J. Mišić
↦ A. Ademi
59′
🔁 L. Kačavenda
↦ M. Rog
2–0 K. Havertz ⚽
Gabriel Martinelli
66′
69′
🟨 Lukas Kačavenda
K. Tierney 🔁
↦ O. Zinchenko
74′
L. Trossard 🔁
↦ K. Havertz
74′
74′
🔁 M. Pjaca
↦ L. Stojković
75′
🔁 A. Hoxha
↦ R. Pierre-Gabriel
87′
🔁 D. Špikić
↦ M. Baturina
3–0 M. Ødegaard ⚽
91′
N. Butler-Oyedeji 🔁
↦ Gabriel Martinelli
92′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-3-3
22 David Raya G
12 J. Timber D
15 J. Kiwior D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
17 O. Zinchenko D
8 M. Ødegaard M
20 Jorginho M
41 D. Rice M
30 R. Sterling F
29 K. Havertz F
11 Gabriel Martinelli F
Bench (11)
53 E. Nwaneri
5 T. Partey
3 K. Tierney
19 L. Trossard
37 N. Butler-Oyedeji
46 I. Kabia
36 T. Setford
32 Neto
33 R. Calafiori
47 M. Kacurri
23 Mikel Merino

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Dinamo Zagreb

5-4-1
33 I. Nevistić G
22 S. Ristovski D
13 S. Mmaee D
6 M. Bernauer D
4 Raúl Torrente D
18 R. Pierre-Gabriel D
7 L. Stojković M
30 M. Rog M
5 A. Ademi M
10 M. Baturina M
17 S. Kulenović F
Bench (12)
27 J. Mišić
8 L. Kačavenda
20 M. Pjaca
11 A. Hoxha
77 D. Špikić
1 D. Zagorac
49 M. Ćutuk
19 J. Córdoba
37 T. Baković
66 B. Pavić
21 N. Mbuku
23 I. Filipović

Coach: F. Cannavaro

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.