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Champions League
Referee: S Vinčić
Lille
U U S T T
6–1
Full-time
Feyenoord
T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lille Feyenoord
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 11/7 matches
Win Ø 56%
55%
57%
Points per game
1,8
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 78%
55%
100%
Both score Ø 72%
73%
71%
Average goals
2,7
4,6
Scored
1,5
2,4
Conceded
1,2
2,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

1,17 xG 0,72
62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lille Feyenoord
1–0 O. Sahraoui ⚽
R. Cabella
4′
14′
⚽ S. Giménez 1–1
G. Trauner
28′
🔁 A. Ueda
↦ S. Giménez
36′
🔁 T. Wellenreuther
↦ J. Bijlow
1–2 G. Trauner ⚽
own goal
38′
42′
🟨 Gernot Trauner
Half-time 1–2
46′
🔁 G. Zechiël
↦ Hwang In-Beom
2–2 A. Gomes ⚽
M. Bakker
57′
Lucas Chevalier 🟨
62′
62′
🔁 I. Osman
↦ Igor Paixão
J. David 🔁
↦ A. Gomes
63′
H. Haraldsson 🔁
↦ M. Bayo
63′
63′
🔁 J. Mitchell
↦ B. Nieuwkoop
Ngal'ayel Mukau 🟨
65′
3–2 J. David ⚽
A. Bouaddi
74′
3–3 G. Trauner ⚽
own goal
76′
4–3 R. Cabella ⚽
O. Sahraoui
80′
Rémy Cabella 🟨
81′
G. Gudmundsson 🔁
↦ M. Bakker
83′
E. Mbappé 🔁
↦ R. Cabella
83′
Y. Lachaab 🔁
↦ O. Sahraoui
91′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Lille

4-2-3-1
30 L. Chevalier G
12 T. Meunier D
18 B. Diakité D
4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
20 M. Bakker D
17 N. Mukau M
32 A. Bouaddi M
10 R. Cabella M
8 A. Gomes M
11 O. Sahraoui M
27 M. Bayo F
Bench (8)
9 J. David
7 H. Haraldsson
5 G. Gudmundsson
29 E. Mbappé
47 Y. Lachaab
16 M. Caillard
1 V. Mannone
35 I. Cossier

Coach: B. Génésio

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
1 J. Bijlow G
2 B. Nieuwkoop D
18 G. Trauner D
33 D. Hancko D
5 G. Smal D
3 T. Beelen M
4 Hwang In-Beom M
23 A. Hadj Moussa M
27 A. Milambo M
14 Igor Paixão M
29 S. Giménez F
Bench (10)
9 A. Ueda
22 T. Wellenreuther
24 G. Zechiël
38 I. Osman
20 J. Mitchell
64 I. Ka
19 J. Carranza
17 L. Ivanušec
15 F. González
16 Hugo Bueno

Coach: B. Priske

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Vinčić · 42 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.