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Conference League
Referee: S Gishamer
Djurgarden
S S U T T
3–0
Full-time
Pafos
S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Djurgarden Pafos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Conference League · 13/15 matches
Win Ø 58%
62%
53%
Points per game
2,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
54%
60%
Both score Ø 51%
54%
47%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,01 xG 2,17
48% Possession 52%
14 Shots 13
8 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
4 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Mar -25 Pafos – Djurgarden 1–0

Match report

Djurgarden Pafos
Tokmac Nguen ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
8′
1–0 O. Fallenius ⚽
T. Nguen
35′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 I. Šunjić
↦ Bruno Felipe
48′
🟨 Ken Sema
Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
53′
57′
🟨 Ivan Šunjić
60′
🟨 Derrick Luckassen
61′
🟨 Muamer Tanković
62′
🔁 Anderson Silva
↦ Jairo
Tokmac Nguen 🟨
68′
2–0 D. Stensson ⚽
R. Schüller
69′
74′
🔁 Domingos Quina
↦ K. Sema
74′
🔁 Jajá
↦ V. Dragomir
J. Rinne 🔁
↦ M. Nilsson Säfqvist
76′
Rasmus Schüller 🟨
81′
82′
🟨 Jonathan Silva
H. Finndell 🔁
↦ R. Schüller
83′
A. Priske 🔁
↦ P. Åslund
83′
84′
🔁 M. Oršić
↦ M. Tanković
Daniel Stensson 🟨
85′
3–0 T. Nguen ⚽
86′
93′
🟨 Pêpê
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Djurgarden

4-2-3-1
30 M. Nilsson Säfqvist G
18 A. Ståhl D
5 M. Tenho D
4 J. Une Larsson D
27 K. Kosugi D
6 R. Schüller M
13 D. Stensson M
22 P. Åslund M
16 T. Gulliksen M
15 O. Fallenius M
20 T. Nguen F
Bench (11)
35 J. Rinne
14 H. Finndell
26 A. Priske
25 K. Jawla
36 A. Atlee Manneh
29 S. Haarala
40 M. Croon
32 I. Alemayehu
28 G. Granström
19 V. Bergh
23 N. Žugelj

Coach: J. Honkavaara

Pafos

4-2-3-1
1 I. Ivušić G
7 Bruno Felipe D
23 D. Luckassen D
21 Z. Šarlija D
19 J. Silva D
88 Pêpê Rodrigues M
22 M. Tanković M
77 João Correia M
30 V. Dragomir M
12 K. Sema M
10 Jairo F
Bench (10)
26 I. Šunjić
33 Anderson Silva
8 Domingos Quina
11 Jajá
17 M. Oršić
83 P. Theodoulou
70 M. Ilia
93 N. Michael
5 David Goldar
2 K. Pileas

Coach: Carcedo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gishamer · 121 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.