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Bundesliga

Referee: Tobias Welz

Hoffenheim

T U U U U

2–1

Full-time

Schalke 04

S T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Schalke 04

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,7

This season — Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

50%

25%

Both score Ø 50%

75%

25%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,8

0,3

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

43% Possession 57%

14 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Hoffenheim 13. · Schalke 04 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	5	5	0	0	+14	15
2	Dortmund	5	4	0	1	+12	12
3	FC Koln	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	M'gladbach	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Ein Frankfurt	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Hertha	5	3	1	1	+2	10
7	RB Leipzig	4	2	2	0	+5	8
8	Mainz	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Leverkusen	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
11	Freiburg	5	2	0	3	-3	6
12	Wolfsburg	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Hoffenheim	4	0	4	0	+0	4
14	Darmstadt	5	1	1	3	-8	4
15	Werder Bremen	5	1	0	4	-10	3
16	FC Ingolstadt 04	5	0	1	4	-8	1
17	Hamburg	5	0	1	4	-8	1
18	Schalke 04	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	3	3	0	0	+11	9
2	Dortmund	3	3	0	0	+9	9
3	M'gladbach	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Ein Frankfurt	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	FC Koln	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Hertha	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	Freiburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Leverkusen	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Darmstadt	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Werder Bremen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
12	Augsburg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Hoffenheim	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Mainz	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Wolfsburg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
16	Hamburg	3	0	1	2	-5	1
17	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	FC Ingolstadt 04	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Mainz	3	2	0	1	+2	6
3	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	FC Koln	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Wolfsburg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Augsburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Hertha	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+3	3
9	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Leverkusen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
11	Hoffenheim	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	3	0	1	2	-4	1
14	Hamburg	2	0	0	2	-3	0
15	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Freiburg	3	0	0	3	-6	0
17	Werder Bremen	2	0	0	2	-9	0
18	Darmstadt	3	0	0	3	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.