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Ligue 1

Referee: Lionel Jaffredo

Marseille

T S T U T

2–1

Full-time

Nantes

T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Nantes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,3

Scored

1,2

0,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,3

Scored

1,2

0,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%

14 Shots 13

5 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 5

3 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 17. · Nantes 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Monaco	7	5	1	1	+6	16
3	Toulouse	7	4	2	1	+6	14
4	Paris SG	7	4	1	2	+9	13
5	Bordeaux	7	4	1	2	+3	13
6	Metz	7	4	1	2	+1	13
7	St Etienne	7	3	3	1	+4	12
8	Guingamp	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Lyon	7	3	1	3	+4	10
10	Bastia	7	3	1	3	+1	10
11	Rennes	7	3	1	3	-2	10
12	Angers	7	3	0	4	-1	9
13	Dijon	7	2	1	4	-2	7
14	Caen	7	2	1	4	-8	7
15	Montpellier	7	1	3	3	-6	6
16	Lorient	7	2	0	5	-7	6
17	Marseille	6	1	2	3	-1	5
18	Nantes	6	1	2	3	-4	5
19	Nancy	7	1	2	4	-6	5
20	Lille	7	1	1	5	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	Nice	4	3	1	0	+6	10
3	St Etienne	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Toulouse	3	3	0	0	+6	9
5	Rennes	3	3	0	0	+5	9
6	Paris SG	3	2	1	0	+6	7
7	Dijon	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Guingamp	3	2	1	0	+2	7
9	Bordeaux	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Bastia	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Lyon	3	2	0	1	+4	6
12	Angers	3	2	0	1	+2	6
13	Metz	3	2	0	1	+0	6
14	Caen	3	2	0	1	-3	6
15	Lorient	4	2	0	2	-3	6
16	Marseille	3	1	2	0	+2	5
17	Montpellier	4	1	2	1	+0	5
18	Lille	3	1	0	2	-3	3
19	Nantes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
20	Nancy	4	0	1	3	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nice	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Metz	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Paris SG	4	2	0	2	+3	6
4	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Monaco	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Toulouse	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Guingamp	4	1	1	2	+0	4
8	Lyon	4	1	1	2	+0	4
9	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Nancy	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Bastia	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Angers	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	St Etienne	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Lille	4	0	1	3	-4	1
15	Caen	4	0	1	3	-5	1
16	Montpellier	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Rennes	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Marseille	3	0	0	3	-3	0
19	Lorient	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.