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Serie A
Referee: Michael Fabbri
Lazio
S T U S T
2–0
Full-time
Empoli
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,8
Scored
1,7
0,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
40%
20%
Points per game
1,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
40%
20%
Both score Ø 30%
40%
20%
Average goals
3,0
1,6
Scored
1,6
0,4
Conceded
1,4
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

39% Possession 61%
12 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 6
7 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lazio 10. · Empoli 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 6 5 0 1 +8 15
2 Napoli 6 4 2 0 +9 14
3 Roma 6 3 1 2 +6 10
4 Inter 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Chievo 6 3 1 2 +1 10
6 Milan 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 Bologna 5 3 0 2 -2 9
8 Torino 6 2 2 2 +4 8
9 Genoa 4 2 1 1 +2 7
10 Lazio 5 2 1 2 +1 7
11 Fiorentina 4 2 1 1 +1 7
12 Udinese 5 2 1 2 -2 7
13 Sampdoria 5 2 0 3 -2 6
14 Sassuolo 5 2 0 3 -3 6
15 Pescara 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Palermo 6 1 2 3 -4 5
17 Cagliari 5 1 1 3 -4 4
18 Empoli 5 1 1 3 -4 4
19 Atalanta 5 1 0 4 -5 3
20 Crotone 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Lazio Empoli
D. Cataldi 🔁
↦ L. Biglia
10′
11′
🟨 Marco Zambelli
1–0 B. Keita
29′
33′
🔁 U. Ćosić
↦ F. Barba
Felipe Anderson 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 Manuel Pasqual
59′
🔁 G. Marilungo
↦ A. Tello
J. Lukaku 🔁
↦ B. Keita
66′
Danilo Cataldi 🟨
73′
77′
🔁 L. Mchedlidze
↦ A. Gilardino
C. Lombardi 🔁
↦ Felipe Anderson
84′
2–0 S. Lulić
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Lazio

3-5-2
1 T. Strakosha G
26 Ş. Radu D
3 S. de Vrij D
13 Wallace D
20 L. Biglia M
19 S. Lulić M
16 M. Parolo M
10 Felipe Anderson M
21 S. Milinković-Savić M
17 C. Immobile F
14 B. Keita F
Bench (12)
5 D. Cataldi
6 J. Lukaku
25 C. Lombardi
2 W. Hoedt
4 Patric
7 R. Kishna
9 F. Đorđević
18 Luis Alberto
23 M. Leitner
44 F. Prce
55 I. Vargić
96 A. Murgia

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Empoli

4-3-1-2
28 L. Skorupski
21 M. Pasqual D
3 M. Zambelli D
6 G. Bellusci D
19 F. Barba D
11 D. Croce M
10 R. Saponara M
5 J. Mauri M
88 A. Tello M
18 A. Gilardino F
20 M. Pucciarelli F
Bench (12)
24 U. Ćosić
89 G. Marilungo
9 L. Mchedlidze
4 F. Dimarco
7 M. Maccarone
8 A. El Hadji
13 F. Veseli
17 R. Maiello
23 A. Pelagotti
31 Matheus Pereira
33 R. Krunić
77 M. Büchel

Coach: G. Martusciello

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Michael Fabbri · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.