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Serie A
Referee: Celi Domenico
Inter
T U S S S
1–1
Full-time
Bologna
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,3
This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 60%
60%
60%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
40%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
2,4
3,2
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

60% Possession 40%
22 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 4
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Inter 4. · Bologna 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 6 5 0 1 +8 15
2 Napoli 6 4 2 0 +9 14
3 Roma 6 3 1 2 +6 10
4 Inter 5 3 1 1 +2 10
5 Chievo 6 3 1 2 +1 10
6 Milan 5 3 0 2 +1 9
7 Bologna 5 3 0 2 -2 9
8 Torino 6 2 2 2 +4 8
9 Genoa 4 2 1 1 +2 7
10 Lazio 5 2 1 2 +1 7
11 Fiorentina 4 2 1 1 +1 7
12 Udinese 5 2 1 2 -2 7
13 Sampdoria 5 2 0 3 -2 6
14 Sassuolo 5 2 0 3 -3 6
15 Pescara 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Palermo 6 1 2 3 -4 5
17 Cagliari 5 1 1 3 -4 4
18 Empoli 5 1 1 3 -4 4
19 Atalanta 5 1 0 4 -5 3
20 Crotone 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Inter Bologna
14′
M. Destro 0–1
S. Verdi
21′
🟨 Daniele Gastaldello
A. Gnoukouri 🔁
↦ G. Kondogbia
28′
33′
🟨 Angelo Da Costa
1–1 I. Perišić
A. Candreva
37′
39′
🟨 Blerim Džemaili
Half-time 1–1
53′
🔁 E. Pulgar
↦ Á. Nagy
63′
🟨 Erick Pulgar
63′
🔁 M. Oikonomou
↦ D. Gastaldello
E. Martins 🔁
↦ É. Banega
65′
Gabriel 🔁
↦ A. Candreva
74′
80′
🔁 A. Masina
↦ E. Krafth
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Inter

4-2-3-1
1 S. Handanovič G
25 João Miranda D
21 D. Santon D
13 A. Ranocchia D
95 S. Miangue M
19 É. Banega M
17 G. Medel M
7 G. Kondogbia M
44 I. Perišić M
87 A. Candreva M
9 M. Icardi F
Bench (11)
27 A. Gnoukouri
23 E. Martins
96 Gabriel
5 Felipe Melo
8 R. Palacio
10 S. Jovetić
15 C. Ansaldi
30 J. Carrizo
33 D. D'Ambrosio
55 Y. Nagatomo
94 E. Yao

Coach: F. de Boer

Bologna

4-3-3
1 Angelo Da Costa G
28 D. Gastaldello D
35 V. Torosidis D
20 D. Maietta D
4 E. Krafth D
31 B. Džemaili M
8 S. Taïder M
16 Á. Nagy M
10 M. Destro F
9 S. Verdi F
11 L. Krejčí M
Bench (12)
5 E. Pulgar
2 M. Oikonomou
25 A. Masina
7 A. Mounier
15 I. M'baye
17 G. Donsah
18 F. Helander
22 L. Rizzo
24 A. Ferrari
26 S. Floccari
34 F. Ravaglia
97 M. Sarr

Coach: R. Donadoni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Celi Domenico · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
10,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.