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La Liga
Referee: Alberto Undiano
Espanol
T U U T S
0–2
Full-time
Celta
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Espanol Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
4,5
2,2
Scored
2,2
0,5
Conceded
2,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,2
This season — La Liga · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
80%
40%
Average goals
4,2
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,6
Conceded
2,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%
10 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
1 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Espanol 16. · Celta 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 6 4 2 0 +9 14
2 Barcelona 6 4 1 1 +13 13
3 Ath Madrid 6 3 3 0 +10 12
4 Villarreal 6 3 3 0 +5 12
5 Ath Bilbao 6 4 0 2 +3 12
6 Sevilla 6 3 2 1 +2 11
7 Las Palmas 6 3 1 2 +3 10
8 Eibar 6 3 1 2 +2 10
9 Betis 6 2 2 2 -3 8
10 Sociedad 6 2 1 3 -1 7
11 Leganes 6 2 1 3 -4 7
12 Sp Gijon 6 2 1 3 -9 7
13 Alaves 5 1 3 1 +0 6
14 Valencia 6 2 0 4 -3 6
15 La Coruna 6 1 2 3 -2 5
16 Espanol 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Malaga 6 1 2 3 -3 5
18 Celta 5 1 1 3 -5 4
19 Granada 5 0 2 3 -6 2
20 Osasuna 6 0 2 4 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Espanol Celta
29′
🟨 Facundo Roncaglia
Marc Roca 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–0
H. Pérez 🔁
↦ Marc Roca
46′
F. Caicedo 🔁
↦ Léo Baptistão
50′
José Jurado 🔁
↦ José Antonio Reyes
68′
70′
🔁 G. Rossi
↦ T. Bongonda
75′
🟨 Iago Aspas
75′
🔁 P. Hernández
↦ M. Díaz
82′
🔁 Hugo Mallo
↦ Sergi Gómez
86′
🟨 Pablo Hernández
Óscar Duarte 🟨
87′
91′
G. Rossi 0–1
G. Cabral
93′
P. Sisto 0–2
Jonny Castro
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Espanol

4-3-3
13 Diego López G
6 Ó. Duarte D
9 José Antonio Reyes M
20 P. Diop M
18 Javi Fuego M
4 Víctor Sánchez M
16 Javi López D
15 David López D
28 Marc Roca M
7 Gerard Moreno F
11 Léo Baptistão F
Bench (7)
17 H. Pérez
10 F. Caicedo
14 José Jurado
23 D. Reyes
29 Aarón Martín
1 Roberto Jiménez
3 Rubén Duarte

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Celta

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Álvarez G
24 F. Roncaglia D
22 G. Cabral D
20 Sergi Gómez D
19 Jonny Castro D
5 M. Díaz M
18 D. Wass M
6 N. Radoja M
11 P. Sisto M
10 Iago Aspas F
7 T. Bongonda M
Bench (7)
25 G. Rossi
8 P. Hernández
2 Hugo Mallo
9 J. Guidetti
23 Josep Señé
27 Iván Villar
3 Fontàs

Coach: E. Berizzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alberto Undiano · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.