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Serie A

Referee: Paolo Tagliavento

Torino

T S T U U

3–1

Full-time

Roma

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Roma

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,7

This season — Serie A · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

80%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

2,8

3,6

Scored

1,6

2,6

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

30% Possession 70%

18 Shots 22

8 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 13

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Torino 14. · Roma 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	6	5	0	1	+8	15
2	Napoli	6	4	2	0	+9	14
3	Roma	5	3	1	1	+8	10
4	Inter	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Chievo	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Milan	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Bologna	5	3	0	2	-2	9
8	Genoa	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Lazio	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Fiorentina	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Udinese	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Sampdoria	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	Sassuolo	5	2	0	3	-3	6
14	Torino	5	1	2	2	+2	5
15	Pescara	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Palermo	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Cagliari	5	1	1	3	-4	4
18	Empoli	5	1	1	3	-4	4
19	Atalanta	5	1	0	4	-5	3
20	Crotone	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Roma	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Juventus	3	3	0	0	+7	9
3	Napoli	3	3	0	0	+6	9
4	Bologna	3	3	0	0	+4	9
5	Chievo	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Milan	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Fiorentina	2	2	0	0	+2	6
8	Torino	2	1	1	0	+4	4
9	Cagliari	2	1	1	0	+3	4
10	Genoa	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Udinese	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Inter	2	1	1	0	+1	4
13	Lazio	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	Sampdoria	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Atalanta	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Empoli	3	1	0	2	-2	3
18	Pescara	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Crotone	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Palermo	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	3	2	0	1	+1	6
2	Juventus	3	2	0	1	+1	6
3	Napoli	3	1	2	0	+3	5
4	Palermo	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Lazio	3	1	1	1	-1	4
6	Pescara	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Genoa	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Milan	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Sassuolo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
10	Sampdoria	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Chievo	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Udinese	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Fiorentina	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Roma	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Torino	3	0	1	2	-2	1
16	Empoli	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Atalanta	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Bologna	2	0	0	2	-6	0
19	Crotone	3	0	0	3	-6	0
20	Cagliari	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.