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La Liga
Referee: Francisco Hernandez Maeso
Ath Bilbao
T S S S T
3–2
Full-time
Sevilla
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,89 xG 1,01
46% Possession 54%
14 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 6
8 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
10 Corners 1
0 Offside 8
8 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

16. Mar -25 Sevilla – Ath Bilbao 0–1 29. Sep -24 Ath Bilbao – Sevilla 1–1 19. May -24 Ath Bilbao – Sevilla 2–0 4. Jan -24 Sevilla – Ath Bilbao 0–2 27. Apr -23 Ath Bilbao – Sevilla 0–1

Match report

Ath Bilbao Sevilla
6′
🟨 Andres Castrin
1–0 N. Williams ⚽
36′
37′
🟨 Lucien Agoumé
2–0 M. Sannadi ⚽
43′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 C. Ejuke
↦ S. Idumbo
60′
⚽ D. Lukebakio 2–1
J. Sanchez
G. Guruzeta 🔁
↦ M. Sannadi
67′
R. Navarro 🔁
↦ A. Berenguer
67′
71′
🔁 A. Januzaj
↦ Castrin
72′
⚽ L. Agoume 2–2
A. Adams
M. Vesga 🔁
↦ I. Ruiz de Galarreta
78′
3–2 R. Navarro ⚽
N. Williams
81′
82′
🔁 Marcao
↦ N. Gudelj
A. Gorosabel 🔁
↦ J. Areso
83′
A. Rego 🔁
↦ N. Williams
83′
87′
🔁 I. Romero
↦ D. Sow
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 U. Simon G
12 J. Areso D
3 D. Vivian D
4 A. Paredes D
17 Y. Berchiche D
16 I. Ruiz de Galarreta M
18 M. Jauregizar M
9 I. Williams M
7 A. Berenguer M
10 N. Williams M
21 M. Sannadi F
Bench (12)
27 A. Padilla
2 A. Gorosabel
6 M. Vesga
11 G. Guruzeta
13 U. Vencedor
15 I. Lekue
19 A. Boiro
22 N. Serrano
23 R. Navarro
25 Izeta
30 A. Rego
34 J. De Luis

Coach: Ernesto Valverde Tejedor

Sevilla

4-1-4-1
13 O. Nyland G
16 J. Sanchez D
32 Castrin D
4 K. Salas D
2 J. A. Carmona D
6 N. Gudelj M
10 D. Lukebakio M
18 L. Agoume M
20 D. Sow M
27 S. Idumbo M
9 A. Adams F
Bench (11)
31 A. Flores
33 R. Romero
3 A. Pedrosa
7 I. Romero
14 Peque
21 C. Ejuke
23 Marcao
24 A. Januzaj
28 M. Bueno
29 M. Sierra
39 E. Altozano

Coach: Matías Jesús Almeyda

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,55
🔒
U
3,91
🔒
B
6,17
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,07
🔒
U2,5
1,71
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Francisco Hernandez Maeso · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.