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Champions League
Referee: D Makkelie
FC Copenhagen
S S T U T
2–4
Full-time
Dortmund
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Copenhagen Dortmund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 8/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,9
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
25%
100%
Both score Ø 63%
25%
100%
Average goals
2,3
6,5
Scored
1,6
4,0
Conceded
0,6
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,82 xG 1,64
36% Possession 64%
11 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 7
10 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

FC Copenhagen Dortmund
20′
F. Nmecha 0–1
J. Bellingham
0–2 W. Anton
own goal
33′
Half-time 0–2
Lukas Lerager 🟨
60′
61′
R. Bensebaini 0–3
62′
🔁 C. Chukwuemeka
↦ J. Brandt
62′
🔁 F. Silva
↦ M. Beier
62′
🔁 J. Ryerson
↦ Y. Couto
M. Lopez 🔁
↦ B. Meling
63′
74′
🟨 Ramy Bensebaini
M. Garananga 🔁
↦ P. Hatzidiakos
75′
V. Dadason 🔁
↦ J. Larsson
75′
76′
F. Nmecha 0–4
C. Chukwuemeka
77′
🔁 M. Sabitzer
↦ F. Nmecha
M. Madsen 🔁
↦ E. Achouri
81′
Y. Zague 🔁
↦ W. Clem
81′
85′
🔁 A. Anselmino
↦ R. Bensebaini
87′
F. Silva 0–5
Yoram Zague 🟨
89′
1–5 V. Dadason
J. Suzuki
90′
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

FC Copenhagen

4-4-2
1 D. Kotarski G
20 J. Suzuki D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
24 B. Meling D
11 J. Larsson M
12 L. Lerager M
36 W. Clem M
30 E. Achouri M
9 Y. Moukoko F
7 V. Claesson F
Bench (8)
31 R. A. Runarsson
61 O. Buur
4 M. Garananga
15 M. Lopez
21 M. Madsen
22 Y. Zague
23 D. Sarapata
39 V. Dadason

Coach: Jacob Neestrup

Dortmund

3-4-2-1
1 G. Kobel G
3 W. Anton D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
5 R. Bensebaini D
2 Y. Couto M
8 F. Nmecha M
7 J. Bellingham M
24 D. Svensson M
10 J. Brandt F
14 M. Beier F
9 S. Guirassy F
Bench (10)
31 S. Ostrzinski
33 A. Meyer
13 P. Gross
17 C. Chukwuemeka
20 M. Sabitzer
21 F. Silva
25 N. Sule
26 J. Ryerson
27 K. Adeyemi
28 A. Anselmino

Coach: Niko Kovac

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.