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Champions League
Referee: G Nyberg
St. Gilloise
S S S T S
0–4
Full-time
Inter
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St. Gilloise Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 92%
83%
100%
Points per game
2,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
2,7
Scored
1,8
2,3
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 75%
50%
100%
Points per game
1,5
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
1,5
2,5
Conceded
2,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+2,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

0,95 xG 4,54
30% Possession 70%
15 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
3 Corners 4
4 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

St. Gilloise Inter
31′
🟨 Stefan de Vrij
41′
⚽ D. Dumfries 0–1
Y. Bisseck
45′
⚽ L. Martinez 0–2
F. Esposito
Half-time 0–2
46′
🔁 M. Akanji
↦ S. de Vrij
52′
ℹ️ Lautaro Martínez
VAR: Penalty confirmed
53′
⚽ H. Calhanoglu 0–3
58′
🔁 A. Bonny
↦ L. Martinez
59′
🔁 P. Sucic
↦ H. Calhanoglu
59′
🔁 F. Dimarco
↦ A. Bastoni
R. Florucz 🔁
↦ A. Ait El Hadj
60′
K. Rodriguez 🔁
↦ P. David
61′
M. Giger 🔁
↦ M. Rasmussen
61′
L. Patris 🔁
↦ O. Niang
75′
76′
⚽ F. Esposito 0–4
A. Bonny
77′
🔁 Luis Henrique
↦ D. Dumfries
R. Schoofs 🔁
↦ A. Zorgane
84′
Rob Schoofs 🟨
88′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

St. Gilloise

3-4-2-1
37 K. Scherpen G
5 K. Mac Allister D
16 C. Burgess D
48 F. Leysen D
25 A. Khalaili M
4 M. Rasmussen M
8 A. Zorgane M
22 O. Niang M
6 K. Van De Perre F
10 A. Ait El Hadj F
12 P. David F
Bench (10)
1 V. Chambaere
3 M. T. Barry
11 Guilherme Smith
13 K. Rodriguez
17 R. Schoofs
20 M. Giger
23 S. Boufal
26 R. Sykes
27 L. Patris
30 R. Florucz

Coach: David Hubert

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
31 Y. Bisseck D
6 S. de Vrij D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
16 D. Frattesi M
20 H. Calhanoglu M
7 P. Zielinski M
30 Carlos Augusto M
94 F. Esposito F
10 L. Martinez F
Bench (11)
13 J. Martinez
40 A. Calligaris
8 P. Sucic
11 Luis Henrique
14 A. Bonny
15 F. Acerbi
17 A. Diouf
22 H. Mkhitaryan
23 N. Barella
25 M. Akanji
32 F. Dimarco

Coach: Cristian Chivu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Nyberg · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.