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Champions League
Referee: S Gozubuyuk
Villarreal
S S U T U
0–2
Full-time
Man City
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,28 xG 1,34
34% Possession 66%
11 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 3
17 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Villarreal Man City
Alfonso Pedraza 🟨
11′
17′
⚽ E. Haaland 0–1
R. Lewis
22′
🟨 Bernardo Silva
40′
⚽ B. Silva 0–2
Savinho
Santiago Mouriño 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
S. Cardona 🔁
↦ A. Pedraza
46′
57′
🔁 M. Kovacic
↦ Nico
65′
🟨 Rúben Dias
A. Moleiro 🔁
↦ T. Buchanan
66′
T. Oluwaseyi 🔁
↦ G. Mikautadze
66′
A. Perez 🔁
↦ S. Comesana
72′
73′
🔁 T. Reijnders
↦ R. Lewis
73′
🔁 O. Bobb
↦ J. Doku
Pape Gueye 🟨
75′
D. Parejo 🔁
↦ P. Gueye
81′
Alberto Moleiro 🟨
85′
86′
🔁 O. Marmoush
↦ Savinho
86′
🔁 R. Cherki
↦ E. Haaland
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Luiz Junior G
15 S. Mourino D
8 J. Foyth D
12 R. Veiga D
24 A. Pedraza D
14 S. Comesana M
16 T. Partey M
18 P. Gueye M
17 T. Buchanan M
19 N. Pepe F
9 G. Mikautadze F
Bench (12)
13 D. Conde
25 A. Tenas
3 A. Altimira
4 R. Marin
6 M. Solomon
7 G. Moreno
10 D. Parejo
11 I. Akhomach
20 A. Moleiro
21 T. Oluwaseyi
22 A. Perez
23 S. Cardona

Coach: Marcelino

Man City

4-1-4-1
25 G. Donnarumma G
27 M. Nunes D
5 J. Stones D
3 R. Dias D
24 J. Gvardiol D
14 Nico M
26 Savinho M
82 R. Lewis M
20 B. Silva M
11 J. Doku M
9 E. Haaland F
Bench (11)
1 J. Trafford
13 M. Bettinelli
4 T. Reijnders
6 N. Ake
7 O. Marmoush
8 M. Kovacic
10 R. Cherki
21 R. Ait-Nouri
33 N. O'Reilly
47 P. Foden
52 O. Bobb

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

S Gozubuyuk · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.