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Superligaen
Referee: L Graagaard
Sonderjyske
S S T S U
1–2
Full-time
FC Copenhagen
S T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sonderjyske FC Copenhagen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,7
3,8
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Superligaen · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 45%
33%
56%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
44%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
56%
78%
Average goals
3,3
3,9
Scored
1,6
2,4
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,12 xG 1,27
37% Possession 63%
8 Shots 13
1 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sonderjyske 7. · FC Copenhagen 3.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Aarhus 9 6 2 1 +10 +4.5 20
2 Midtjylland 9 5 3 1 +11 +1.6 18
3 FC Copenhagen 9 5 2 2 +9 +8.0 17
4 Brondby 9 5 0 4 +1 +3.8 15
5 Randers FC 9 4 1 4 -2 -0.2 13
6 Nordsjaelland 9 4 0 5 -5 -0.5 12
7 Sonderjyske 9 3 2 4 -2 -5.5 11
8 Fredericia 9 3 2 4 -3 -5.4 11
9 Odense 9 3 2 4 -6 +4.6 11
10 Silkeborg 9 3 1 5 -6 -2.8 10
11 Viborg 9 3 0 6 -4 -2.5 9
12 Vejle 9 1 3 5 -3 -5.5 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sonderjyske FC Copenhagen
G. Duru 🔁
↦ R. Sigurgeirsson
9′
29′
Robert 0–1
M. Elyounoussi
Half-time 0–1
M. Agger 🔁
↦ L. Qamili
46′
56′
Robert 0–2
R. Huescas
Olti Hyseni 🟨
65′
S. Emini 🔁
↦ S. Waever
66′
M. Hoppe 🔁
↦ K. M. Ingason
66′
72′
🟨 Thomas Delaney
73′
🔁 Y. Moukoko
↦ V. Claesson
M. Cherif 🔁
↦ D. L. Gretarsson
78′
Sefer Emini ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
80′
1–2 M. Jensen
82′
83′
🔁 J. Suzuki
↦ Robert
86′
🟨 Junnosuke Suzuki
Andreas Oggesen 🟨
88′
92′
🔁 Y. Zague
↦ J. Larsson
96′
🟨 Dominik Kotarski
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sonderjyske

3-4-3
16 M. Bundgaard G
12 M. Soulas D
5 M. Jensen D
4 D. L. Gretarsson D
3 S. Waever M
22 A. Oggesen M
26 T. Sommer M
21 R. Sigurgeirsson M
15 L. Qamili F
10 K. M. Ingason F
24 O. Hyseni F
Bench (9)
1 N. Flo
6 R. Vinderslev
7 S. Emini
11 A. Lyng
14 M. Hoppe
23 G. Duru
25 M. Agger
29 A. Rrahmani
31 M. Cherif

Coach: Thomas Norgaard

FC Copenhagen

4-4-2
1 D. Kotarski G
13 R. Huescas D
5 Gabriel Pereira D
6 P. Hatzidiakos D
15 M. Lopez D
11 J. Larsson M
12 L. Lerager M
27 T. Delaney M
16 Robert M
10 M. Elyounoussi F
7 V. Claesson F
Bench (9)
4 M. Garananga
9 Y. Moukoko
20 J. Suzuki
21 M. Madsen
22 Y. Zague
24 B. Meling
36 W. Clem
61 O. Buur
39 V. Dadason

Coach: Bo Svensson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U
B ✓
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Graagaard · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.