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Champions League
Referee: J Sanchez
Marseille
S T T U S
0–1
Full-time
Atalanta
U U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Atalanta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
83%
0%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,7
1,2
Scored
2,3
0,5
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
2,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,90 xG 1,25
53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

9. May -24 Atalanta – Marseille 3–0 2. May -24 Marseille – Atalanta 1–1

Match report

Marseille Atalanta
26′
🟨 Éderson
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Pasalic
↦ M. De Roon
50′
🟨 Odilon Kossounou
55′
🔁 I. Hien
↦ O. Kossounou
Matt O'Riley 🟨
67′
71′
ℹ️ Ademola Lookman
VAR: Goal cancelled
R. Vaz 🔁
↦ I. Paixao
71′
75′
🔁 Y. Musah
↦ A. Lookman
A. Gomes 🔁
↦ C. Egan-Riley
79′
84′
🔁 G. Scamacca
↦ N. Krstovic
84′
🔁 L. Samardzic
↦ C. De Ketelaere
90′
⚽ L. Samardzic 0–1
92′
🟨 Raoul Bellanova
T. Mmadi 🔁
↦ U. Garcia
95′
Nayef Aguerd 🟨
98′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Marseille

5-4-1
1 G. Rulli G
62 M. Murillo D
28 B. Pavard D
4 C. Egan-Riley D
21 N. Aguerd D
6 U. Garcia D
10 M. Greenwood M
17 M. O'Riley M
23 P. Hojbjerg M
14 I. Paixao M
97 P. Aubameyang F
Bench (10)
12 J. De Lange
40 J. Van Neck
8 A. Gomes
18 A. Vermeeren
34 R. Vaz
50 D. Bakola
68 M. Clement
76 T. Mmadi
77 R. Ouro Bang Na
78 E. Lago

Coach: Habib Beye

Atalanta

3-4-3
29 M. Carnesecchi G
3 O. Kossounou D
19 B. Djimsiti D
69 H. Ahanor D
16 R. Bellanova M
13 Ederson M
15 M. De Roon M
77 D. Zappacosta M
17 C. De Ketelaere F
90 N. Krstovic F
11 A. Lookman F
Bench (12)
31 F. Rossi
57 M. Sportiello
4 I. Hien
6 Y. Musah
7 K. Sulemana
8 M. Pasalic
9 G. Scamacca
10 L. Samardzic
23 S. Kolasinac
47 L. Bernasconi
59 N. Zalewski
70 D. Maldini

Coach: Raffaele Palladino

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Sanchez · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.