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Champions League
Referee: L M Branco Godinho
Inter
S S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Kairat Almaty
U U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Inter Kairat Almaty
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
83%
0%
Points per game
2,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
2,5
0,2
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/11 matches
Win Ø 64%
100%
27%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
67%
27%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
18%
Average goals
3,0
1,9
Scored
3,0
0,7
Conceded
0,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,38 xG 0,15
66% Possession 34%
23 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Inter Kairat Almaty
6′
🟨 Jorginho
Yann Bisseck ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
20′
1–0 L. Martinez ⚽
45′
Half-time 1–0
A. Bonny 🔁
↦ L. Martinez
46′
46′
🔁 E. Tapalov
↦ V. Gromyko
55′
⚽ O. Arad 1–1
Nicolò Barella 🟨
58′
P. Sucic 🔁
↦ D. Frattesi
63′
2–1 Carlos Augusto ⚽
F. Esposito
67′
M. Thuram 🔁
↦ F. Esposito
71′
H. Calhanoglu 🔁
↦ N. Barella
71′
71′
🔁 O. Baybek
↦ O. Arad
71′
🔁 Ricardinho
↦ Edmilson
76′
🔁 A. Sadybekov
↦ D. Kasabulat
76′
🔁 G. Zaria
↦ Jorginho
M. Akanji 🔁
↦ Y. Bisseck
81′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Inter

3-5-2
1 Y. Sommer G
31 Y. Bisseck D
6 S. de Vrij D
30 Carlos Augusto D
2 D. Dumfries M
16 D. Frattesi M
23 N. Barella M
7 P. Zielinski M
32 F. Dimarco M
94 F. Esposito F
10 L. Martinez F
Bench (12)
13 J. Martinez
40 A. Calligaris
8 P. Sucic
9 M. Thuram
11 Luis Henrique
14 A. Bonny
15 F. Acerbi
17 A. Diouf
20 H. Calhanoglu
25 M. Akanji
53 C. Alexiou
95 A. Bastoni

Coach: Cristian Chivu

Kairat Almaty

4-2-3-1
77 T. Anarbekov G
24 A. Mrynskiy D
25 A. Shirobokov D
80 E. Sorokin D
3 L. Mata D
4 D. Kasabulat M
15 O. Arad M
55 V. Gromyko M
7 Jorginho M
9 D. Satpaev M
26 Edmilson F
Bench (10)
1 A. Zarutskiy
82 S. Kalmurza
5 L. Kurgin
6 A. Sadybekov
10 G. Zaria
17 O. Baybek
18 D. Glazer
20 E. Tapalov
33 J. Stanojev
99 Ricardinho

Coach: Rafael Urazbakhtin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L M Branco Godinho · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,5 / match
Above average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.