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La Liga

Referee: J Alberola

Barcelona

S S S T T

3–0

Full-time

Levante

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Levante

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

100%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,7

2,7

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 48%

79%

17%

Points per game

2,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 65%

83%

46%

Both score Ø 57%

63%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

2,7

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,88 xG 0,53

73% Possession 27%

22 Shots 5

9 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 6

13 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Levante 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	25	19	3	3	+33	+29.3	60
2	Barcelona	24	19	1	4	+39	+29.9	58
3	Villarreal	24	15	3	6	+19	+7.8	48
4	Ath Madrid	25	14	6	5	+19	+11.6	48
5	Betis	25	11	9	5	+10	+8.4	42
6	Espanol	25	10	5	10	-6	-0.7	35
7	Celta	24	8	10	6	+5	+2.9	34
8	Ath Bilbao	25	10	4	11	-6	+9.8	34
9	Osasuna	25	9	6	10	+1	-4.4	33
10	Sociedad	25	8	8	9	-1	-0.2	32
11	Sevilla	25	8	5	12	-7	-14.0	29
12	Getafe	25	8	5	12	-9	-6.3	29
13	Girona	24	7	8	9	-14	-10.1	29
14	Vallecano	24	6	8	10	-9	-0.0	26
15	Alaves	24	7	5	12	-9	-1.6	26
16	Valencia	24	6	8	10	-12	-1.5	26
17	Elche	25	5	10	10	-5	-18.3	25
18	Mallorca	24	6	6	12	-10	-14.1	24
19	Levante	24	4	6	14	-15	-10.7	18
20	Oviedo	24	3	8	13	-23	-17.7	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	13	11	1	1	+20	+15.9	34
2	Barcelona	11	11	0	0	+29	+18.0	33
3	Real Madrid	12	11	0	1	+21	+18.1	33
4	Villarreal	12	9	1	2	+17	+6.1	28
5	Osasuna	12	7	3	2	+8	+3.2	24
6	Betis	12	7	2	3	+10	+6.9	23
7	Ath Bilbao	13	7	2	4	+2	+10.3	23
8	Elche	13	5	6	2	+7	-3.3	21
9	Sociedad	13	6	3	4	+4	+1.7	21
10	Espanol	13	6	2	5	-2	-0.0	20
11	Mallorca	12	5	4	3	+3	-0.4	19
12	Alaves	12	5	3	4	+1	+1.5	18
13	Valencia	12	4	5	3	+2	+8.1	17
14	Girona	12	4	4	4	-7	-7.5	16
15	Vallecano	11	3	6	2	+2	+6.3	15
16	Sevilla	13	4	3	6	-1	-4.1	15
17	Getafe	13	4	3	6	-1	-3.1	15
18	Celta	12	3	5	4	+2	+2.9	14
19	Oviedo	12	2	5	5	-8	-9.4	11
20	Levante	12	1	4	7	-12	-7.0	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	13	8	3	2	+12	+11.2	27
2	Barcelona	13	8	1	4	+10	+11.9	25
3	Celta	12	5	5	2	+3	+0.0	20
4	Villarreal	12	6	2	4	+2	+1.7	20
5	Betis	13	4	7	2	+0	+1.5	19
6	Espanol	12	4	3	5	-4	-0.7	15
7	Ath Madrid	12	3	5	4	-1	-4.3	14
8	Sevilla	12	4	2	6	-6	-9.9	14
9	Getafe	12	4	2	6	-8	-3.1	14
10	Girona	12	3	4	5	-7	-2.6	13
11	Levante	12	3	2	7	-3	-3.7	11
12	Sociedad	12	2	5	5	-5	-1.9	11
13	Ath Bilbao	12	3	2	7	-8	-0.4	11
14	Vallecano	13	3	2	8	-11	-6.4	11
15	Osasuna	13	2	3	8	-7	-7.6	9
16	Valencia	12	2	3	7	-14	-9.7	9
17	Alaves	12	2	2	8	-10	-3.2	8
18	Oviedo	12	1	3	8	-15	-8.4	6
19	Mallorca	12	1	2	9	-13	-13.7	5
20	Elche	12	0	4	8	-12	-15.0	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.